European Stars and Stripes (Newspaper) - October 31, 1964, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Saturday october 31, 1964 the stars and stripes Page 3 Survey shows demos Likely to gain in both houses Washington up the democrats appear Likely to in crease their majorities in bathhouses of Congress an tuesday according to a United press International Survey. By How much however it i difficult to say especially in the House of representatives where All 435 seats Are to be however on the basis of local polls. Interviews with political leaders and findings of Veteran political correspondents t h e democrats appear to have a Fairchance of picking up about 11 scats. If they do they would wind up with a majority of 270 to the republicans 165. The present lineup is 254 and 179 with five vacancies three democratic an two Republican. In the Senate they May Regis Ter an Overall gain of three seats for a majority of ii to 31. Com pared with the present m-to-34 ratio. But even if the democrats areas successful As current indications suggest they will still Bewell below the huge House majorities of the Roosevelt Erain the Early and mid thirties. In 1932, for example they had313 members in 1934 a total of .122 which they increased in 1936to 333. The Story is much the same inthe Senate. In 1934 they Hud 9 members. 75 in 1b3 and 9 in1938. Neither parly tins enjoyed such majorities a incr. The Odds against the republicans upsetting the democratic standings in either the House Orthe Senate would be substantial in any circumstances let alone in a year which does not appear to be  918 scats needed for a majority they would need Topick up 40 seals to gain control of the House for example. Upsets of his nature have of course occurred before. In 1938 the republicans gained 80 scat Sund the Democrat 75 in 1948. In Only 10 of the biennial elections since 19.12 Hus either party Kuincy More than 25  republicans have been in control of the House in Only two congresses since 1932the 80th 1947-48 and the 83rd 1 53-54 in the Senate the Republican task has been even More difficult. Altogether 35 of the 100 Senate seats Are being decided this year. Of these the democrats at pres ent hold 26 and the republicans 9. Tally forecasts 433 electoral votes for Johnson by Henry key Washington up a United press International Survey found 36 states and the District of Columbia Likely to vote for president Johnson tuesday eight for the Republican presidential contender sen. Barry Goldwater and six states in which the results still in doubt. The Survey round that  was ahead in seven Southern states Goldwater i five with one in doubt. The tally gave or. Johnson 433electoral College votes and Gold water 59, with 46  estimates Are based on local polls interviews with poli tical leaders and findings of vet eran correspondents. The following is the breakdown of this Survey by Region. The Fig ures in parenthesis Are the elec toral votes for each Region and state. Johnson East 146 Connecticut 8 Delaware 1maine 4mary land 10massachusetts 14new Hampshire 4new Jersey 17 new York 43 Pennsyl Vania 29rhode Island 4west i r g i n i a 7district of Columbia 3. Total 11 states. South 84 Arkansas 6georgia 12kentucky i North Carolina 13oklahoma 8tennessee 11texas 25 total of 7 states. Midwest 180. Illinois 26 Iowa 9michigan 21minnesota 70missouri 12. Ohio 26south Dakota 4wisconsin 12. Total of 8  80 California 40colorado 6hawaii 4mon Tana 4nevada 3new Mexico 4oregon 6utah 4 Washington �. Total of 9 states. Northwest 3 Alaska 3 one state. Goldwater South 47 Alabama 10louisiana 10mississippi 7 South Carolina 8virginia 12. Total of 5  5 Nebraska 5. West 7 Idaho 4wyom ing 3. Two states. Doubtful 41 East 3 Vermont 3. On estate. South 14 Florida 14 one state. Midwest 24 Indiana 13 Kansas 7north Dakota 4. Three  5 Arizona 5. In Only two of the 37 states including the District of Colum Bia which at present appear Tobe for or. Johnson does the Vot ing appear Likely to be  Are Georgia South and Wisconsin Midwest in the other states the presi Dent looks Uke winning with landslide victories in four states Connecticut East Minne Sota Midwest new York and Rhode Island East. Even mathematically the re publicans would have a hard time overturning the entrenched democrats. Nevertheless several democrats Are Likely to find the going  these Are former at Torney general Robert f. Ken Nedy who is attempting to in seat Republican sen. Kenneth  in new York former White House press Secretary sen. Pierre Salinger who is generally considered facing a Tough fight in California against Republican actor George Murphy an Texas sen. Ralph w. Yarbor Ough. Who is in a close fight with Republican contender George  Ohio Robert Taft jr., son of the late Republican senator appears to have Good prospects of unseating incumbent demo crat sen. Stephen m. Young. However the number of scats held by each party does not give the full picture of congressional politics. For example the conservative Southern congressional delegations have often worked in a coalition with republicans to frustrate Lee Slation hacked by Liberal minded  when president Dwight d. Eisenhower was in office Lyn Don b. Johnson then Leader of the democratic Senate majority was criticized by some members of his party including sen. Wil Liam Proxmire of Wisconsin for cooperating too closely with the Republican administration in for eign affairs and other areas. State by state Outlook for major Raees in tuesday s vote Washington up Here Isth state by state Outlook. The figure to the right of each state is its electoral vote. New Inland Milne 41 president Johnson expected to defeat Goldwater soundly. Senate democratic incumbent muscle by Good inn Gln Over Republican Mclntyre House Democrat favored to win on of two seats now held by republicans. New Hampshire 4 president moot give Johnson an a Ywin but Home say straight tickets could save Goldwater. Governor Democrat i e incumbent King clearly favored Over Republican  1 no change. Vermont a president Johnson Given even Chance of being first Democrat Ever to win state. Governor incumbent Democrat Hof liven narrow Edge Over Republican foots. Senate incumbent Republican Prouty slight favorite Over Democrat  i no change. Massachusetts i mip resident Johnson by landslide pos Sibly exceeding Kennedy s 1sso margin of Bio 000  Bel loll has slim Edge Over Republican Volpe. Senate incumbent Democrat Kenned headed for overwhelming reelection. House present lineup of 7 democrats and it republicans Likely to remain. Mode Island 4 president Johnson in a  Gallogly Given Edge Over Republican incumbent chaff. Senate Democrat incumbent put Ore in runaway Over Republican Lagueux. House democrats keep two seals they now hold. Connecticut lit president Johnson by landslide pos Sibly record 400.000 plurality Senate Democrat incumbent Dodd. With was Over Republican  rated sure to keep or Huttt fir Ati and him r incumbent could be use Tel Dole Atlantic new Torii 143 president Johnson headed toward land slide Victory with launch test republics conceding defeat Senate polls give Democrat Kennedy slight Edge Over incumbent  Hope Johnson coat. Tails will enable them to Cut into 21-20 mat two my of  Iii pm Dent Joh Mon by comfortable in with Democrat claiming up to 000,000  incumbent Scott liven Edge Over Democrat Beall House democrats Hope to Revere pres ent 14-13 Edge held by Republican. New Duraey 117 preside r4jouiuton expected to win by biggest democratic margin since r. D. Roosevelt with party leaders claiming at least 300.000-vote  incumbent wll Llan rides in easily Over Republican Hanley. House democrats hop to gain three Ahatsi Republican now holds to  War 31 president Johnson favored with Moat he publican trying to dissociate them selves from cola water governor big Johnson margin could bring Victory to Democrat Terry Over Republican Buckun. Senate Republican incumbent Williams has slight Edge Over Democrat Carvel. House incumbent Democrat Mcdowell regarded As cinch Over . Maryland 10 president Johnson looks like Winner. But might run into slain infant bar Klaith. Senate Democrat to Donga slight favor Ite to unseal top incumbent Brail. Home democrats hold m eds. But republicans Hope to gain one seat. Wait Virginia 171 president Johnson is prohibitive favor Ite. Governor Democrat Smith believed to have slight Edge Over Republican under Wood. Senate incumbent Democrat r.  expected to Lead ticket Over Republican Benedict House no change expected in 4-1 mar Gin held by  of Columbia 31 president the nation s capital. In its tint presidential election. Is expected Togo heavily for Johnson. South Virginia 1x1ildentgolilwstrr by narrow mar Gin although democratic regular con ducting first organic Campaign Lorna tonal ticket since in. Senate democratic incumbent h. P. Byrd expected to win easily Over Republican May. Houm democrats who now hold 8-3wlge. Might wind up with net gain of me or two. North Carolina is president Jan Luton expected to win but it could be by narrow  Moore appears ahead of Republican Gavin. Houe no change in present lineup of nine democrats and two republicans. South Carolina lit president ool dealer appears Likely Towin Ner rawly Fink off jul to it Tui in sharply into Hla Lead. House Democrat Likely to keep All Sli eats. Georgia fill president Johnson by narrow margin with heavy negro Vole perhaps decisive Factor. House republicans could break Intok Tats s present solid democratic Delem Uon of Elg lil Simiu Mlp resident a toss up with democrats hopeful that Velill by Johnson la week. End might have tipped the slate his Way. Governor Democrat Burns by land old Senate Democrat Holland is considered Ottoo to. House no change in Premont 10 democrats and x  Tot Preil Riel Goli Waier Eully. Since democratic electors pledged to no  Hope to win two 01 three seats breaking solid democratic lineup of eight Mississippi 71 president ool dealer headed for big Victory. Senate Democrat incumbent Stennis u unopposed. Home democrats expected to keep ill five seals. Lou Liuni 10 per indent Goldwater is expected to win by at least Sims margin Houte democrats expected to keep All Lalit scats. Arkansas president Johnson to win by narrow margin. Governor democratic incumbent Feu bus 1 favored by slight margin. House democrats to Nold All four seals. Tennessee my pre Milent Johnson apparently holds Senate Democrat incumbent Gore a but Fil Over re publican Kuykendall Democrat Bass holds smaller Edge Over re publican Baker. House democrats May keep 6-3 mar Gin but two democrats Are trouble. Kentucky it Idem looks like Johnson by Len than  votes. House should retain present t-2 democratic advantage although Johnson land tilde could unseat one Republican. Southwest the be 25 prudent Johnson u expected to carry state by comfortable margin. Governor incumbent Democrat Connelly expected to win by landslide Over Republican Crichlon. Senate Republican Bush Kaleil slight Edge Over incumbent Democrat Yar  at rat a whose Edge la now 71-3. Could wind up with net gain of one Tat. Oklahoma sip resident Johnson by Sli Abl margin. Senate tossup Between Republican Wil Kinson and Democrat Harris. If Niue present breakdown of five democrats Ami one Retoyi Allcan unchanged. New Mexico 14 Johnson apparently will win by comfortable but not overwhelming margin. Governor incumbent Democrat Camp Bellea ily Over Republican Tucker. Senate guess u Democrat Vonlo Yanover incumbent run Allnan us a. But Ranuld go either Way. Houm or morals could lose one of two Reata they now hold. Arisen  expected to win Hie Home  Kleindl Etui slight it voile Over Democrat  Republican Kannon favored Democrat blown. Hut could Hue one. M10w 1st Ohio in president poll and pundits think Johi nil will win by 300.000 Voles. Senate All signs Point to Victory for Republican Tad Over democratic Locum Bent Young. House democrats Hope to pick up at least three seats in delegation where Republican now have ts-4 Edge Indiana 111 president by close. It could go Cit Herway. Governor Republican Rune is leading Democrat bran Gln. Senata democratic incumbent Hart face expected to beat Republican  Victory could reduce Pren Etil Republican margin of t-4 to 0-0. Michigan 111presidentjohnson easily with Esti mates running Well Over 260.000 a  incumbent Hart Over Republican Peterson by big margin. Governor incumbent Republican rom Ney has apparent Lead Over Democrat Staebler. House republicans hold present margin of 114. But democrats should gain one eat and puns Bly two. Illinois my per intent Johnson solid favorite wit talk of landslide. Governor neck and neck Between democratic incumbent Kerner and Republican Percy with Johnson s plurality Likely to be  change in 12-13 lineup. Wise u president Johnson a Edge but Gold water can t be counted out. Governor democratic incumbent Rey nolds a is Likely to beat Republican Knowles. Senate tossup Between democratic in jibe it Proxmire and Republican Renk. House Ren port Loument could give republics r another seat and 7-3 majority. Missouri ii Pren Dent Johnson to win. With slightly belter margin Nan Kennedy in 1mo. Governor Democrat Hearne by sub Stantial Maricine Over Republican Shapley. Sens is incumbent Democrat Symington expected to defeat Republican Bradshaw. House no change from present eight democrats and two republicans. Mlynne Sotiri 101 president Johnson. By landslide. Latest poll give him 71-34 Edge a Nate Ini a Ghent Democrat Mccarthy Al a by g land Olliie Over Republican  now split 4-4. But democrats mid pick up Teal or two depending on Jot Incon mar in North Dakota 41 pm atm nip and tuck but Republican returning to fold May save Victory to  incumbent Democrat Guy Senate democratic incumbent Burd Lcmay just Aque exe by Republican Kleppe House republicans to keep both  Dakota 4 president Johnson is  Doe expected to beat Democrat land Lay. Houe republicans expected to retain House republicans could Ion ont of the five setts they hold. Montana 141 president Johnson App Ara to have comfortable margin. Governor Republican incumbent Dak cock should withstand Challenge of deme eral Renne. Senato democratic incumbent Man Field overwhelming favorite Over Republican Blewett Hmine present lineup of one Democrat and one Reuf Allcan looks sat. Wyoming of president probably ool Walar. Thouas democrats Emeera consent Senate democratic incumbent Moceo favored in Polle Over Republican Wold but very close. House incumbent Republican Harrison leads in Polle. Cetera de it Prei Dent Johnson appear headed forbid win. House chances Are that present 1-1 i plot will carry  4 president Gold water by nose. House one of two democratic seat looks Safe but other la tossup. Utah i4 president Johnson by Wilda  Democrat Rampton expected i win Over Republican  democratic Tancun Bant Mou voted despite Etrone Challenge front Republican  Democrat ahead for on of two seats held by  j president Johnson by stable margin. Senate extremely close Between dem Coralic incumbent Cannon and re pull can Liall. But democrats believe Cannon will make  keep Loo real  i president Johnson generally considered to be. A Ead. But Botn parties claim governor democratic incumbent Rozel in and Republican Urana running very we. It governor  incumbent Hughes favoured Over Reim Hillran  u til lean control present delegation t-1 but democrats May gain one or two teals. Nebraska  Goldwater seems to have Edge but Johnson making Strong claims. Governor democratic incumbent mor Rison Over Republican Burney. Senate gop incumbent Ruika favored Over Demount Arndt Houm democrats May win one teat from republicans who now hold All three. Kansas 71 president Goldwater should win by a her. Allbough some polls show Johnson  Avery should beat do much a Wiles. Considered certain  republicans confident of holding five of Elx Reata they now have and democrats sure to keep one. One la president polls show Johnson Victory and republicans privately agree Houm three democratic incumbents appear Safe and democrats Given Edge for one Teal now Nel by ook California 40 president Johnson by  votes. Senate could be close but democratic incumbent Salinger slightly favored Over Republican  optimistic Afi out gaining at least two Aeau to Efren Gen present a 14 lineup. Republicans Hope to hold own. Alaska ii president Lumwon considered to be comfortably  Democrat seem lure to keep Lone seat. Hawaii 41 president Johnson in a democratic sweep. Gill expected to unseat top incumbent Foni by narrow  democrats expected to bold Buth menu