European Stars and Stripes (Newspaper) - August 23, 1978, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Poge 12 the stars and stripes Tom Wicker wednesday August 23, 1978 figuring vote fluctuations for Carter in 19\ Dallas if in i960 the 26 electoral votes of Texas should be subtracted from the total of 297 Jimmy Carter won in 197e.he would have Only one More than the 270 needed or election assuming All other states voted As they did in his first Cam but of course that can t be assumed. Which for example of the 71 states car ried by Gerald Ford might Carter be reasonably expected to win in 1980? it s bar to think of one save possibly Michigan. Ford s Home state which might return to the democratic fold if he were not on the ticket. Losing Texas but carrying Michi Gan s 21 electoral votes would give Carter a total of 292 if All other states voted As in1976. But that can t be assumed either a number of Carter states might not go for him this time around including some in the South North Carolina for example Louisiana and Mississippi particularly if the Republican presidential nominee were Ronald Reagan. Looked at in these cold arithmetical terms that big bloc of 26 electoral votes from Texas is obviously crucial to Jimmy Carter s rejection in 1980. Without Texas it s impossible to conceive of an electoral strategy that could give him tour More years. And the hard truth is that in Texas As in the rest of the country the president in sad political shape but not yet the dead Chicken Republican gubernatorial candidate William Clements has tried to Label him. In a recent Pat Caddell poll taken for democratic senatorial candidate Bob Krueger for example 42.3 percent of the respondents rated Carter As doing an excellent or a Good Job. That s far too Low for Comfort but considerably above the 26percent who gave Carter a Good to Excel Tat Job rating in an associated press Abc National poll recently published. In the poll of 600 Texas voters More Over. 57.6 percent had a favourable opinion of Carter personally As distinct from the Job he is doing As president. That tends to Bear out the opinions of a democratic and a Republican candidate in different Dallas county congressional districts. They agreed that there is a Reservoir Osgood will among texans for a Man Many bad wanted to succeed. The democratic candidate said they looked at him now with  while the Republican observed that no one seemed to think Carter mean jointed. They just think he s Over his  that May explain the belief of an old be regular Democrat who considers car Ter ill served by his Georgia political associates that the president needs Only to get hold of a few things he mentioned civil service Reform the Middle East the Energy Bill to stage a comeback with the voters. Similarly a Young Liberal activist who sees Carter As a victim of inflated expectations believes that when real choices have to be made in a polling Booth Carter would defeat sen. Edward Kennedy in a Texas primary or finish first in a Carter Kennedy Jerry Brown race. An experienced party fund Raiser and associate of Lam Duck gov. Dolph Briscoe says that the surge of talk about a Kennedy candidacy will make it much easier to reconcile Tex As democrats to Jimmy Carter and raise funds for the president s re election. 1 Nelson Wolff the democratic congressional candidate in the 21st District in Southwest Texas is a Carter critic con cedes that he has not invited Carter to Campaign for him but adds if the president called and said. I want to come Down to Texas and visit your con Gressional District i would say you re Welcome to come despite Carter s Low poll standing and sustained Republican attacks on him in most Texas races. Democratic sources Here remain surprisingly confident that to Ooi Tara Tipert Ted i 0m Cef umm a to Neon  t t9� a cwt Tom of in author pm Art in no n4 tto by Contd we apr in big to Vii at to Start a so twi or it  Sun e0rnmfli they Are in excellent shape for the fall elections. The Prospect of massive spending by cements a millionaire oilman and the Well financed sen. John Tower together they Are expected to Lay out Well Over 53 million and perhaps As much As $5 million i does not shake this Confidence. Clements trailing badly in All polls is Given almost no Chance against Democrat John Hill. Rep. Krueger making an Excel Lent showing in his first statewide Campaign is conceded at least a Good shot at sen. Tower and some democrats Are cautiously predicting an upset the Caddell poll shows Tower a three term incumbent leading Krueger by Only 42.6 to 41.2 in eluding leaders. A statistically insignificant margin. And in eight congressional races where the incumbent either retired or was Defeated in the primaries. Democrats Are not conceding a single seat to the  might lose one  said Martin Frost the democratic candidate in the 24th District Between Dallas and fort Worth but i just Don t see which one it would , this is still an overwhelmingly democratic state. Only 14 percent of the Caddell poll s respondents identified them selves As republicans to s3 percent democrats and 29 percent independents interestingly enough independents said democrats than said the republicans a pattern of Independent to maybe that had a. Facts that those queried  worst problem Mil 75.7 percent Bett evea limes Lay ahead Stuefe. Tor have Shewn that vote the democrats when f Cally that tendency to with some unexpected polls Are not yet Mcmurt.  George f. Will time Ripe for a non italian p ice Itric de. Jiu _ in 1855 there were 420 varieties of plants growing in the colosseum in Rome. Most were not found anywhere else in Europe and were assumed to have sprung from seeds mixed with fodder brought from Africa with animals slaughtered in ancient roman festivals. This fact reported by Eleanor Clark in Rome and a Vil la suggests the overwhelming impression of Rome the cumulative Ness and slaying Power of the past. The Vatican about 1,400 rooms cover ing  meters plus gardens an courtyards began with a Little St Century House the Home of Pope Sim Macus. Architecturally As Well As theologically today institution is the sediment Daesin 1523. 31 years after an italian who was trying to do something else fetched upon wat line Island. The a u a.T". Identified with a particular culture but the 1970s Mark the end of a difficult and decisive Century in the Long history of scions Between Tea Nann to Ami i i. I e secular nation of Italy has been manifested in Liberal divorce and abortion Laws. Today 98 percent of Rome s population consists of baptized ,. No states Church and state Are separate but religion and society Are entwined the re verse seems True of Italy today there might be valuable consequence sort wed decide this time not to pass the oar a through the Needle s . A Choice of a Pope. A flu no Izui i a us Clunan romans erected a statue to his doctor which May May not have the r oblique comment on the idea of a non italian Popi. Or a the oldest Western Ansilion has been in italian hands. As a result the Universal Church which necessarily has a special relationship with one City has been unnecessarily and harmfully make John xxx Fol Mett Emich. Bismarck said thai if act of the 20tb British and j Guage. No similarly i made regarding end  of uhf ability that selection might facilitate i Catholic and anglican c last summer or. I archbishop of Ion by the end of to Ade joint reached substantial fines of the Bishops priests and Ture of apostolic Norman Stolic and member of i year the reunion of ,. Lake place can do m Way no other world enjoys a ure and prestige. A conquer "