European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - January 28, 1981, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Pago 10 the stars and stripes january 1981 quotes generously from studies soviet manual tells How to win War Washington up the soviet military is using transcendental and brainstorming methods to forecast How to win the next wars Battles on air and in the insight is provided by their own 230 Page forecasting in military of published in Moscow in trans lated into English by the air Force and now published by the government printing despite modern and a dip far into the past to quote sixth Century chinese strategist the soviets declare hat a knowledge of Marx Istle minist theory is an indispensable condition of scientific forecasting of the nowadays there is naturally greater need for scientific military the manual said in a and with nuclear warfare obviously in mind its time Span of decision making and Button pushing reduced to minutes red army Kulikov was quoted As saying under present Day the Dan Ger of miscalculations and errors in Deci Sions has there is now a need for More profound More scientific forecasting of the possible course of combat operations and More accurate calculations of the anticipated the timeliness of decision making and the maximum reduction of the time taken to formulate and organize the execution of missions have become matters of great the which has pages of comply flaming adventure and passion from the producer of the wagons West series Book Iff the magnificent Saga of the White Indian destined to bring peace to two worlds and love to one unforgettable woman Donald Clayton Porter now available at most rated algebraic and other mathematical for generously quotes from studies done by Rand and other american think including an alleged american devised Sce Nario for a nuclear assault on the United states presumably by the the scenario is credited to american military planning expert the air Force said in a footnote it never heard of nor was his name or Book in Library of Congress according to it would take 300 nuclear missiles to ensure the Complete destruction of 95 percent of 100 selected the manual has Praise for physical mod Els of targets for planning and cites an three dimensional one made of Pearl Harbor by the japanese to devise the Best angles of attack for their 1941 but such models Are expensive and time the manual and mathematical models could serve almost As it should be noted in considering the scope and enormous scale of military fore casting that military unlike a num Ber of other sciences such for extends to All the spheres of space accessible to us the earths the seas and the atmosphere and outer the manual seemed fascinated by the brainstorming method of forecasting first practice by the Rand in the three types were cited direct based on the hypothesis that a Large number of ideas put Forward by experts contains at least a few ones and so a panel goes to group usually involving Only six experts who aim to establish a Unity of views on a particular operational assuming the nature of the problem As a whole and the possible solution Are known Only to the project Leader who questions experts to con firm the correctness of his approach to the with All the possible the manual forecasting and decision Mak ing still require Good raw information for the input and the human mind and intuition to judge Marsh okd by panel for army Secretary Washington a John Marsh was endorsed by the Senate armed services committee for Secretary of the army after saying he favors draft registration but believes expanded recruiting should be tried before any draft or Universal military training is the vote in the committee was with five members Marsh nomination now goes to the Senate floor for a served four terms As a democratic congressman from Virginia beginning in 1963 and later was a Cabinet rank Counselor to former president Gerald the committee also recommended Senate ratification of Frank outgoing Deputy director of Central As Deputy Secretary of the 100 action ratified an advisory vote the committee took in favor of Carlucci last before his formal Marsh told the committee that registration of draft age instituted by the Carter is very useful and he would recommend it be 2 experts worry Chile top quake of Century pinpointed for summer a earthquake researchers have narrowed to within two or three Days this summer the time during which they believe the most powerful Earth quake of the Century will strike off the coast of Peru and Northern the prediction made by Brian Brady of the Bureau of mines and William Spence of the geological Survey has caused considerable concern in South at the request of he peruvian govern the recently established National earthquake prediction evaluation Council monday opened its first Ever meeting to evaluate the Brad Spence prediction of massive quakes that could cause widespread Brady told the Council be believes that toward the end of june there will be a fairly Large Shock near registering Between and on the Richter that Brady will be the be ginning of a massive seismic disturbance that will culminate 40 Days on or about with a second quake that will Register on the Richter that second Brady will Origi Nate about 30 Miles West of the coast of Peru near the epicentre of a Large Earth quake that occurred on thirty Days after he a third registering on the Richter will strike in the same rippling the coast of Peru and extending into North Central the intensity of that Brady would be comparable to a 1960 tremor that registered on the Richter scale and killed an estimated people in it was last summer that Brady and Spence first issued their prediction of major quakes in their predictions have not been formally supported by the agencies for which they and Federal officials have been at pains to make Clear Brady and Spence were making the predictions As Indi the outline of quake activity presented by Brady monday reversed the sequence in the predictions he and Spence issued last at that they said they expected the major Shock to come with earthquakes of declining intensity to the earthquake prediction evaluation Council will hear testimony this week on the Brad Spence prediction and will pre pare a report that ultimately will be Given to the government of the Richter scale is a measure of ground motion As recorded on every increase of one number Means a tenfold increase in thus a Reading of reflects an earthquake 10 times stronger than one of an earthquake of 6 on the Richter scale can cause severe a 7 Reading is a major capable of widespread heavy damage 8 is a great capable of tremendous