European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - August 6, 1985, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Page 10 the stars and stripes August 1985 columns comments William Safire Economy Heads toward trillion Dollar iceberg in the Folk years Jimmy Carter was responsible for our the coun try went into the red by a Quarter of a trillion that was in the four years of the first Reagan we went further into debt by or three quarters of a trillion Dol that was triply in the second Reagan if the administrations newly reduced growth projections Are we will add Over a trillion dollars to our National that is nothing Short of a design for because of a drop in anticipated eco nomic growth from 4 percent to about 3 we can expect Over the next four years about billion less tax Revenue in the since we Are running a yearly deficit of Over billion right that adds up to a round trillion in Bor rowing for the second at that presuming the pre sent Prosperity chugs steadily As it rarely if reagans Luck holds and doomsday is pushed the next presi Dent will have to submit a budget burdened with the debt of the Reagan legacy billion in interest payments just to service the eight years of Reagan Defi not counting All that went that if All goes but what if there is a slump along the or a rolling readjust or a crab Wise or some other euphemism for recession when that happens and it is going to happen growth will revenues will costs of welfare will and the deficit will mushroom even we have reached the Point where we have no fiscal weapon to help stimulate our Way out of the next when a government is deep in deficit during prosperous it loses its ability to lean against the cold winds with stimulative spending in hard comes the with no fiscal we will turn to the Federal Reserve and say pump up the Money it that will be followed by inflation the likes of which we have never and tomorrows old folks will suddenly be presented with the Bill for this trillion Dollar if social Security is still indexed to its fund will soon be bust if the recipients checks will buy less and Carl Rowan if the trillion Dollar term is not those in their late 50s today will be impoverished by inflation at while today teenagers will be crushed by a huge tax Bill when they enter the work now that we have been through the chamber of let us indulge in two paragraphs of the democrats say the red Ink is caused by the Reagan tax baloney eve rising taxes were suffocating Initia Tive and needed to be Cut Back at least to the Levels of the a democratic society decided unequivocally against the further redistribution of income by and some democrats still have not gotten the Reagan says the red Ink is caused by steeply rising no defense Hes right but on the single spending Battle that must be won first to Cap rising entitlements like social Security and military retirement payments he has abandoned the he took a phone Call in Portugal from Gutsy Republican Senate agreed to take the heat with them on capping costo living and then ran out on them in the Taw driest political double Cross of the Reagan has thus turned budgetary politics on its head now the Congress the president the con Gressmen offer their Reagan Raisin picks the cuts he shrugging with supreme unconcern if the total does not Avert the terms trillion Dollar the Republican Senate gets the Public but the democratic House shares the Power with the tip Oneill will now make most of the budget on the related tax Dan Rostenkowski plans to Cut his Deal with Reagan raise capital put a High Cap on deductions of state and local and in the Cloud of elicit a tax in crease to reduce the Reagan and his democratic Dalmak ers Are overlooking the next Cut spending and raise taxes in a recession that Way lies Herbert by embracing his policy of masterly inactivity by keeping All his demagogic reelection the president stands at the smiling into the As we head toward his trillion Dollar ice c new York times news service faces May but not the Kremlin goals Over Tea in the russian embassy in i asked soviet ambassador Anatoly do Brynin a question that the world has wanted an answer to for 23 years in when he and foreign minister Andrei Gromyko denied to president Kennedy that the soviet Union had put nuclear missiles in did he know that those awesome weapons were deployed Only a few Miles from the Border Dobrynin said flatly that he did not he said that in a secret we hours attorney general Robert Kennedy had charged that missiles had been deployed in that he relayed the charge to mos cow in an urgent and that when he received no reply after 24 hours he took silence to mean no and went to another secret meeting with the presidents brother where he mistakenly denied that missiles were in did Gromyko know the missiles were there when he uttered his famous Only to have president Ken Nedy show him photographs of the missiles Dobrynin said he still does not know what Gromyko this was a remarkable assertion by a member of probably the greatest diplomatic tandem in world history russian ambassador to Washington for More than 23 a period in which the has sent seven envoys to Moscow and who has dealt with nine presidents and 14 secretaries of state since he came to Washington 1939 As Counselor of the soviet it is of More than passing interest that the new generation soviet Mikhail has broken up that incredible team of inside and outside that Dobrynin the soothing Diplomat inside hobnobbing with presi playing chess with americas National Security popping up at fast food restaurants and Gro Myko the quintessential cold Warrior operating on the playing the scolding Call ing the a threat to world peace and Gorbachev has booted Gromyko up into the largely ceremonial Post of president of the soviet do Brunins tenure is in although he surely will remain ambassador until Well after Gorbachev holds what will be a historic meeting with president Reagan in Geneva in we Are left to Ponder a few do americans rank this Gromyko and do among the great peacekeepers because they helped steer the superpowers through the most perilous political and diplomatic minefields of the nuclear with no one killed in an atomic attack in four decades or do we regard them As two of the most duplicitous dip Komats Ever to set foot in America trained liars who lulled the into slumber while their agents stole this country military and Industrial secrets and Al Lowed soviet militarists to move to strategic nuclear superiority no matter which description of the Dobrzyn Ingroy to team you the lingering and More important question is whether the replacement of Gromyko As foreign minister is a sign of important changes in the implementation of soviet foreign i say no to anyone who thinks that the soviets will abandon in any Way their goal of crushing capitalism and reshaping the world in a communist i say yes in the sense that Gorbachev will move away from Gromyko grossly confrontational style and opt for smooth exploitation of the United states weaknesses and in Western Europe Especial and the third world in look for a massive soviet Campaign to make France a sort of beachhead in Western and to exploit Italy and Spain in the soviet Effort to drive a wedge Between Western Europe and a United states that is pursuing Star wars and arming to Levels no state has Ever Gromyko May now be Cooling his heels in presidential complaining to himself that Gorbachev is breaking up that old gang of but we would be foolish to think for a moment that Gorbachev is busting up the goals and dreams of inside and c news America Syndicate