European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - February 23, 1988, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Page 10 columns Jim Fain the stars and stripes televised ouf burst against Bush did Dole no Good sen. Bob Dole May have inflicted one of those historic Campaign gunshot wounds to the toot with hit nationally televised outburst against vice president George Bush s lying ads. To a o minor Tantrum but stirred memories of his role As Slasher when he ran with Gerald foul in 1976 and re kindled doubt that tie can control an explosive mean Streak. It also compounded the chaos of Campaign staff already infamous for Dis array and helped to keep Dole s foot sol Diers immobilized in the Wake of their unzip cried defeat in new Hampshire. The Kansas senator s huh hour Cancella Tion at the Republican debate in Dallas leaving George Bush and Jack Kemp with an hour of free air time did t help. Kemp made the most of it. Mainly by jus being on even terms with Bush Bat partly by one upping the vice president on conservative Dogma. Bush tried to slay fatherly above the Battle but went on Loo Long about i War record. Real heroes Are Seldom garrulous. Meanwhile Brick at the democrats fraternal food fight they demonstrated once again in their to debate their com Mon Mastery of the formal with it 30 second camera swings or table thumping superficiality and their common inability to Pierce All that plastic with any kind Ottoo Schump raising Call to arms. Sen. Al Core of Tennessee lagging in the polls after largely ducking the Early ousts attacked the morning line front runners Massachusetts gov. Michael Dukakis and Hep. Richard Gephardt of Missouri Early and often but nobody landed a solid punch. All danced Grace fully especially Jesse Jackson and for Mer Colorado sen. Gary Hart who stood above or below the fray. Gephardt newfound Down Wilh the  message and glib slump style May sell in the South where super tuesday slates Are concentrated. Hit Achilles Heel is Money. He s almost broke while Dukakis and Gore reloaded. The 10 states Hal will be Choos ing democratic delegates mar. B will provide a fascinating test of paid to advertising in which Dukakis and Gore Wilt have the advantage against the kind of free Media excitement  needs to ignite. Among republicans Dole cannot be counted out. He is resourceful Well financed and has solid support especially in the gop congressional club. He can not afford to rub any More nerves about Arnold Sawislak candidate fallout. His temper however. Sen. De music s weeping if. Indeed. He was crying and not just Eye Walen Ngin the sub freezing chill in 972 Ilion 1 seem much of a Deal at the time. But Over a period of weeks it cemented doubts about his temperament. Gov. George Romnes brainwash comment was similar. He actually Mode it late in 1967 on a do Broil to station. Not much was heard of it at first. You could even argue that Only a very secure Man could Adini to having been brain washed by his government and Only a Lough one coup change his mind after investigating. Instead it convinced the nation Kooncy was Loo inexperienced and Wishy Washy on foreign affairs. By Early 196s, he fell forced 10 withdraw. There Are parallel Between that Campaign and the gop contest this  Bush. Richard Ninon was far from personally popular. But he had done favors for every county chairman from Kennebunkport to san Diego. Republicans lust after Security. Like Romney Dole Don not strike them As Safe. Bush they believe is unlikely to upset anything or anybody As the underdog Dole is particularly handicapped. He knows he has to Bury his image As a Nasty. He s been talking Goodie two shoes for months. But tactically with Bush Riding High he no needs to attack. How does he do that without coming off As Jack the Ripper the outcome in Minnesota and South Dakota will measure his erosion thus far. He should do Well in Bot states but weak loyalties and saturation to coverage make this race unbelievably volatile As Bush s last minute comeback in new Hampshire demonstrated. Any Dole faltering would be ominous. Bush goes South with an enormous advantage in organization and in the rub off from Reagan s popularity he has been criss crossing Dixie far two solid years. If Dole it flagging. Bush could All but wrap things up with a Strong super tuesday win in the 17 Stales that will name one third of the gop Delegate , of course a Hurricane put m his path by Pat Robertson the former to evangelist whose massive Dixie army did not mind his skipping the dal Las debate. He will profit from Cross overs by conservative Democrat and previously dormant independents. There Are no substantive june be tween Bush and Dole and not Many with Robertson though his emphasis is uniquely hit own. The democrats do Dif Fer with Gephardt against the Field on protectionism and Gore against it on activist foreign policy. There Ore Man shading on lanes and finance. By skill fully trimming against attack however they blur the edges of their Dis agreements. As a tactical cd Treist this Campaign is one of the Molt absorbing m history. It has everything but the indispensable ingredient of democratic leadership the spark of human passion that an mobilize citric in to sacrifice for the common Good. Super tuesday May not turn out As intended now we re going to find out if super tuesday is going to be the political equivalent of the boat built in the basement. On March 8. 21 i tiles including a dozen in South Ern and Border states will hold primaries and caucuses that will select 63 percent of the delegates needed to win the democratic presidential nomination and 70 percent of the number needed 10 Clinch the gop nomination. That indeed will be a super tuesday. The Iowa caucuses and the new Hampshire primary culled thi1 thundering Herd of 13 Republican and democratic presidential aspirants and some smaller tests in the next couple of weeks May Knock off one or More of the weakest survivors. But the real carnage May be reserved for March 8. If one candidate Inch party emerges from thai Day with Moil of the delegates it could be lights out for everybody else. At the least. Super tuesday probably will reduce the Field to no More than three viable can Didan in each party. That s not i ally what the inventors of super tues Day had in mind. The idea of a single Day Early in the Campaign year when Southern Stales would have an Opportunity to make an Impact on the presidential nomination was promoted mainly by a group of Dixie democrats. They fell thai highly publicized Early test in places like Iowa and new Hampshire and Massachusetts were leaving the party saddled with Liberal Wing nominees who might look Good in the North but were Poison below the Mason Dixon line. So they organized a regional primary to give the South a louder voice in he nomination process. Someday they also had in mind a vehicle to win the demo cratic nomination for former nov. Charles Robb of Virginia or sen. Sam Nunn of Georgia. Neither of those worthies chose to run for president so the South Ern candidate became sen. Albert Gore of Tennessee who All but ignored Iowa and new Hampshire in favor of Early campaigning in the South. So now the democrats Hove a governor from Massachusetts and a congressman from Missouri As front runners. Gore Lias Sci to demonstrate he on win primary of caucus Voles anywhere and some observers think the big Winner in the South May turn out to be Jesse Jackson a native of South Carolina who almost certainly was not the candidate the Southern demo cratic leaders had in mind when they cooked up super tuesday. Furthermore even if super tuesday does produce a democratic candidate acceptable to the founders or the Southern regional primary they still May have problems with party leaders from places like Nuinoo new York Pennsylvania Ohio new Jersey and Cali fornia who will not be Happy to find their slates All but written out of the nominating process. It u possible thai Hwy will retaliate when die democrats undertake their quadrennial tinkering Job on the party Delegate selection Rylei for 1992. The legendary fellow who built his boat in the base ment got so ambitious and did such a Good Job that he ended up with a vessel Loo Large to gel Oul of the  folks who built super tuesday May wish on March s that they had done the same. Edwiw Arnom in tit min Micro up the opinion or sed in the column and Emit own on shh it t represent those of the Inchon nod it i no Way to be considered u representing us to few Ottoe Sun my stripes or the untied stat oven uncut