European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - June 15, 1988, Darmstadt, Hesse Page 10 the stars and stripes columns Tom Wicker Dukakis Jackson differ on first use of nukes a headline on the from Page of the los Angeles times for May 26 pro claimed Dukakis Nat ruling out first a similar headline on Page one of the newspaper s Issue the next Day declared Jackson sees first use As the democratic candidates made these Points in separate three hour inter views with Robert sch car of the times and though 1 believe there s much to be said for Jesse Jackson s position a re spouses of Michael Dukakis suggest Why the republicans Are Likely to fan in their efforts to picture him As a spendthrift Liberal Dove. Schyer asked both democrats George Bush refused to be interviewed about the proposal by Robert s. Mcnamara Mcgeorge Bundy Gerard c. Smith and George Kennan that the United states adopt a policy of no first use of nuclear weapons. Jackson unequivocally agreed with the idea explaining it Doest make any sense to defend Europe with pledge to blow up the world. As Henry Kissinger said Mutual suicide cannot be made into a rational policy " Dukakis replied that there should be no Early first use and. Our policy ought to be designed to prevent nuclear pressed by Scheer to explain no Early first use Dukakis gave a length explanation my abbreviated version of which follows. Doing everything we can to per Suade our adversaries nol to Start the Warin the first place. I think the possibility of nuclear deterrence has worked and continues to work because of the consequences of use of nuclear weapons All i m saying to you is that our policy has been and must be to do everything we can to make sure that a nuclear War never occurs. In my judgment a policy of deterrence has contributed to Many anti War democrats preferring Jackson s position and that of the so called gang of Fourmay think this answer insufficient. Some consider no William Safire Clear with its threat to annihilate millions an immoral policy. Others argue that the United states Al ready has in effect a no first us policy for strategic nuclear weapons so that i practice the Mcnamara proposal would apply Only to tactical nukes in Europe. Still others with Many who Are 3 Cam do As Vijeu. Sawy of Mew not anti War democrats arc convinced of what the Kissinger remark implies that our adversaries do not believe any . President would order a nuclear response to a conventional attack on Europe and thus begin an All but inevitable escalation toward the ultimate nuclear holocaust. But the View Dukakis expressed to Bob Scheer is shared by Many defense and foreign policy specialists who think the stated Oral of using tactical nuclear weapons in Europe docs add to deter rence of a conventional attack. The governor moreover was Only repeating what has been the policy of All Republican and democratic administrations since the 1960s, which includes the one in which vice president Bush so Ron Ald Reagan would have you believe has been a part of it will nol be easy therefore for Bush and his promoters to paint Dukakis As a soft Liberal Dove on the Issue of no first use. Even though the concept in under increasing scrutiny by some experts and by Church and peace groups approval of nuclear deterrence remains a Staple of mainstream american attitudes on de sense policy not least because the alternative often is falsely depicted As no Cleir Dukakis s attitude on deterrence As on a wide Range of other issues is therefore less vulnerable politically than that of Jesse Jackson this May disappoint democrats passionate about issues who yearn often with Good reason for heir candidates to adopt More drastic even Radical approaches to entrenched problems As Jackson has done. That would underrate the political dexterity of Michael Dukakis in threading his Way through the democratic primaries mostly along the Middle of la Road thai a adventurous path that has most frequently led to the White House. That does t necessarily mean a Franklin Roosevelt demonstrated after 1932, that what the voters hear in a Campaign is what they la get in the presidency. But a candidate has to gel there first and Dukakis might be on track 1o do so if he has frustrated and can keep on frustrating Republican efforts to Carica Ture him As a far left Liberal soft on Dol Lars and defense. He void timid n anything possible after Israel s nov. 1 elections shoe rot Israel the conflict within Israel about turning Over land to arabs who May never be satisfied is expressed in the kind of balancing act poli tics that Only a Mother of parliaments could love. Try not to look at the Campaign through american presidential eyes. It s nol the labor alignment s Shi Mon Peres versus the liked coalition s i Hak Sha Mir rather it s the dovish left minus pro Arab extremists versus the hawkish right minus the far right racists. Party loyally is Strong the swing Vole in the mid dle is less than 5 percent compared to America s 20 percent. At the moment the liked has the Edge with these voters because the palestinian Intifada or uprising has scared More jews into support for Law and order than it has dismayed other jews into a willingness to negotiate under a Hail of stones. Another reason for the liked Lead is the israeli inclination when leaned upon to lean the other Way. Every Lime George Shults comes through Here Prais ing Peres and his International conference admits a top labor Man it helps on top of that most of the younger Talent is on the right. For every articulate Dove like Abraham Burg entering the lists on the left there Are four attractive and More experienced like Daniks running Dan Merid or and Ehud Olmert have just been joined by Benny begin and Bibi Netanyahu Mohe list of candidates. As in the . A decade ago the intellectual dynamism is on the right. But it is the nature of surges of anger to subside. If the violence level remains at a Quarter thankful enough voters Are Likely to swing Back to labor to make the nov. I election close. Peres now foreign minister in the National Unity rotation has an Ace up his sleeve he desire of israelis for an embassy in Moscow. The Kremlin s Price at the moment is an International tribunal with Israel in the Dock which labor appears almost willing to pay. Liked s Shamir resolutely refuses to give up the principle of direct negotiations without preconditions or impending impositions but recognizes the lure of renewed relations. This sex Leader of the Stem gang now renamed the Stern group Long ago used the russians against the . In new York. At that session the soviets secretly offered to Gua Rantee Israel s contracted Borders Shamir averted that trap and one upped Peres by nailing Down a Date for a consular delegation s visit to Moscow. Now two what ifs. What if labor unexpectedly wins a half dozen More seats in the Knesset than liked if splinter parties can be seduced a Peres Rabin Navon government would Trade land for but if too Many splinter parties Slick with the right Peres might have to make a Deal with liked to form a majority this Lime with labor As senior partner in that Case Back would go Shamir As foreign minister acting As a Brake in labor s lurch toward a territorial solution. What if liked wins decisively Shamir might be Able to form a government without labor s help. In that Case former ambassador to the . Moshe Arens hardest liner most persuasive articulator David Levy sephardic support Speaks no English and Yik Hak modal representing the Liberal party of the liked coalition would compete for the key portfolios. My guess Arens at defense Modai at foreign affairs and an offer of peace for peace these Are not scenarios foreseen by Ariel Sharon the Maverick liked minister of Commerce Ai whose farm a Stone s throw from Gaza i spent the Jay picking apricots and fondling lambs. I think his Roule to Power would have to be in the winning of part leadership at a time of National crisis. Admired and feared Sharon is Israel s club in in closet his supporters use the Degaulle Algena Nixon China begin Sinai analogy Only Sharon Wouldhave credentials fierce enough to make the ultimate Deal. If liked wins in a Squeaker needing labor a Junior partner to govern the coalition partner of Choice would be Yitshak Rabin now defense minister and with his willingness to pm off Arab population centers when reasonable palestinian leaders emerge the Man who forms the Bridge Between hards and tolls. Gid All that straight see you at the meeting i Washington Between Dukakis and Peres Wheeler Bush and Shamir whoa or Jesse Jackson and Sha Ron or. New you Tomii n
