European Stars and Stripes (Newspaper) - February 24, 1992, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Page 2 c the stars and stripes monday february 24, 1992 at a glance a a t r a r Sirj grrr tort Rutn r r Dyph tar cd staff sgt. Troy Carter locks the Gate to Hindenburg Cavern in Wurzburg Germany for the final time after soldiers cleared out the last of their equipment and belongings. See Story on pages 14-15. Preemie hangs on a baby born four months Early and weighing less than a Pound was clinging to life astounding experts and giving her parents Hope. A Page 4 tabloid loses suit a judge ordered a supermarket tabloid to pay $1.5 million to a 96-year-old woman it falsely identified As a pregnant 101-year-old newspaper Carrier. A Page 5 carnival gets under Way carnival started in rain soaked new Orleans following weeks of controversy Over an anti Bias ordinance that will affect the makeup of Parade  a Page 6 analysis of Gulf War a defense department analysis of the . Air Campaign during the persian Gulf War concludes that a breakdown in communications resulted in greater than intended damage to iraqi civilian facilities. A Page 7 prizes for pupils successful scholarship at ans Bach Germany Middle and High schools is now Worth free pizza and burgers special washroom privileges and a shot at a free class ring. A Page 9 irs horror stories a Man who tipped the irs that his employer had not paid his taxes told a Senate panel the irs rewarded him by Billing him for $120,000. A Page 17 Index Abby Ann Landers. 20 action line. Comics. 18-20 commentary. Faces n places. 10 letters. Money matters. Sports. 21-28 to listings. 27 weather. Scenario from Page 1 tempts within the military establishment to invent a menu of alarming War scenarios that can be used by the Pentagon to prevent further reductions in forces or cancellations of new weapons systems from defense  the Washington Post followed with a related Story. The Post article focused on two of the scenarios that planners drafted As possible roads to War with Russia in the next decade. The Post article does not reveal the source for its information. A i cannot comment on the specifics of a Story that purports to be based on classified documents a it. Col. Terrence Meehan a defense department spokesman told the stars Ana stripes. However officials noted that such scenarios Are used to decide on future requirements for training equipment and organization. With the collapse of the soviet Union and the disappearance of a global threat from the Warsaw pact Pentagon planners Are focusing on preparations to counter crises that could develop with Little or no warning. Jeremiah was asked specifically about a scenario in which the United states spearheads a nato counterattack of 24 divisions 70 fighter squadrons and six aircraft Carrier Battle groups should Russia invade Lithuania and Poland. A this is not the policy of the . Government necessarily in any of this a Jeremiah said. A a we re trying to understand what our capability would be in the event that a different regime came in behind the current democratic regime and chose to take certain  the newspapers described the six other potential crises and How the United states would respond if a Iraq invaded Kuwait and saudi Arabia. A North Korea attacked South Korea. A North Korea invaded South Korea while the United states was preoccupied with fighting Iraq. A right Wing police Allied with the former leaders of Manuel Noriega a Panama defense Force and a Narco terrorists staged a coup in Panama. A . Citizens were taken hostage following a coup attempt in the Philippines. A a hostile Power re emerged and threatened . Interests according to National Security sources this scenario refers to Russia by itself or Allied with other former soviet republics. The Power develops into an a authoritarian and strongly anti democratic government Over about three years beginning in Poland and Lithuania request assistance and nato sends its rapid reaction corps and reinforcements totalling 24 divisions 70 fighter squadrons and 6 Carrier Battle groups. Romania Ltd v i Yugoslavia Moldova Russia holds control Over All former soviet nuclear weapons but is not expected to use them unless National survival is at stake. Adequate . Forces a 7 1/3 heavy army divisions �?�45 fighter squadrons a 4 bomber squadrons a 6 aircraft Battle groups a 1 Marine expeditionary Force scenario outcome nato forces win in 89 Days of combat including 21 Days of very High intensity a nato counterattack. Overwhelming . Forces a 3 additional Light army divisions plus 4 heavy army brigades a 18 additional fighter squadrons a 2 additional Battle groups a 1 additional Marine expeditionary Force source the Washington Post 1994. Members of the Senate armed services committee questioned the studies. A i think they re incredibly unlikely scenarios a said sen. Carl Levin a Mich. Sen. John Warner of Virginia the ranking Republican on the panel said that a some of those scenarios would provoke debate of intense magnitude if the administration Ever submitted them to Congress. Sen. Sam Nunn d-ga., the committee chairman bristled when Jeremiah told the panel that although the classified study had been leaked the report could not be Given to the committee. A this is a planning document internal to the department of defense and it is not intended to be a Public document or one we would distribute a Jeremiah said. A amps the Washington Posl Nunn said it was absurd to have the armed services committee debate the defense budget without having the study available. A a it a not a matter of us requesting it. We re really in a position of demanding it. We be got to have that a the chairman said. At the Pentagon spokesman Bob Hall said the scenarios Are a basically analytical tools to help budget planners determine manpower and Supply needs. At the same time Hall acknowledged that the possibility of a massive land War in Europe is a no longer something we look at.,. That threat has gone  staff writer Ray Rowdon of the Washington Bureau contributed to this report Maine from Page 1 Mary had less intensive campaigns. Maine voted As the Campaign moved on relentlessly. All five of the democratic contenders were headed for South Dakota on sunday for an evening debate before tuesdays primary. That balloting shapes up As a struggle for survival for Kerrey and Harkin. Tsongas and Clinton also Are running Strong campaigns including television advertising. Elsewhere there was fresh evidence of see related Story photos on Page 4 the momentum that Tsongas received from his Victory in new Hampshire a Lead off primary last tuesday. In Colorado which holds its primary on March 3, a Denver Post poll show Tsongas running ahead of the pack i Clinton a close second. A similar Surv taken late last month showed Tsongas the Bottom of the Heap. The caucuses represent the first step a two tier process of selecting Delegat to the National convention. Caucus participants were choosing up to 3,566 it Gates to the democratic state Cove Tion in May based on president  Page 1 sunday. The rally also comes at a time when Yeltsin faces nationwide anger Over his economic reforms which have sent prices soaring across the Commonwealth of Independent states. At sundays rally about 10 police officers were injured said maj. Gen. Vyacheslav Ogorodnikova head of the Interior ministry a department of Public order. I he City ambulance service said an unspecified number of protesters were injured the itar Tass news Agency re ported. A they Are letting the country fall apart a said demonstrator Anatoly Panin a teacher. A look where the democrats have led us. We want to demonstrate peacefully and they bring out riot police and trucks a Yeltsin quoted by the inter fax news Agency insisted authorities were not acting undemocratic Aily. A neither i nor the government intended to prevent the opposition from holding meetings. But we Are not going to put human lives at risk a said Yeltsin who Laid Flowers on the Tomb of the unknown Soldier at the Kremlin to observe the former soviet army Day. Reformist mayor Gavriil Popov has banned rallies in the City Center and police also blocked marchers from the Center during a largely peaceful protest by tens of thousands of people last month. At sundays rally several groups gathered spontaneously in opposition to the hard liners but no clashes Between the groups were reported. Sundays pro communist demonstrators called for restoration of the former Union which was dissolved in december release of the coup plotters and the prosecution of Yeltsin and former soviet president Mikhail s. Gorbachev on criminal charges