European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - July 31, 1985, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Page 10 the stars and stripes july 1985 columns comments Tom Wicker reagans illness May affect Battle Over budget Ronald Reagan is Back in the White looking fit and and Given a butt Cathan 50 percent Chance that his cancer will not his Sec Ond term and the National political situation have nevertheless been deeply in the Short Public sympathy for reagans illness and Public admiration for his unfailing Good cheer and personal Grace in adversity Are Likely to strengthen his political hand at a time when he needed in the new or recurring or just Plain might have increased Power to undermine Rea Gans Public support and political almost the presidents ordeal and the pub Lic sympathy it undoubtedly engendered will bring additional pressures on democrats in the House to acquiesce in further huge cuts in social spending the false nostrum being peddled by the White House and Senate republicans As the proper cure for reagans budget Donald the White House chief of unwisely accusing Congress including Senate republicans of being afraid to come to grips with spend ing put it incorrectly the he was spending too much Money it  afford to but the truth is that the huge current and predicted Federal deficits Are primarily the result of shortfalls in Revenue stemming from the major tax cuts president Reagan pushed through in if overspending is a its in the military which Regan and the Senate dont want to and in debt which they All the doom shouting Over the just Hast been borne out by the acting in keynesian those deficits have led a three year economic the most vigorous since the mid60s interest rates Are Down and despite both deficit and Paul the fed told Congress that he saw Little danger of rising Infra with the recovery obviously slowed the econ omy grew at a rate of Only percent in the second Quarter of following growth of Only three tenths of a percent in the first action to reduce the deficit drastically May be just the wrong House democrats have Good reason to be Lieve that the budget deficit was deliberately created by Reagan with his 1981 tax in the belief that Only massive deficits would cause Congress to eliminate the social programs he came to office determined to a wave of sympathy motivated political support for the president could bring the crucial test for this Long Range strategy to gut pos new Deal the budget struggle also has heated up the Anthony Lewis presidential rivalry and Maneu Werings Between Bob the Senate majority and Jack the suppl Side economics through close connection with is believed to have prevailed on Reagan to repudiate Doles plan for a one year elimination of costo living increases for social Security both Dole and together with Howard the retired Senate majority Are consid ered principal contenders for the Republican Nomi but for the Long the major political Benefi Ciary of reagans cancer surgery is Likely to be vice president he served As acting president for about eight hours during reagans surgery and acquitted him self modestly and Well that bound to have boosted his standing with the Public and within the Republican party not entirely convinced that Hes a True Reagan that better than 50 percent prognosis for the presi Means an increased possibility that unhappy circumstances May require Bush to succeed to the presidency before no probably least of All George would wish for that but the Prospect has to be faced that incumbency could give him significant advantages As it did Gerald Ford in 1976 in what no doubt still would be a hard fought contest for the nomination in 1988 and probably against the democratic nominee As but whether or not Bush is in office during the 1988 Ronald reagans illness is a reminder of one Cardinal political fact the republicans have no Compa Rable candidate with whom to replace this extraordinary new York times news service if xxx Guys we Ope rhed Youbou Iwabe struggle in Africa needs help of outside world what is happening in South Africa has to be understood As something More than another turn in the Cycle of protest and the illegitimacy of a political system has finally caught up with there can be no return to normalcy in Pretorias meaning government by and for the White the crisis can be resolved Only by the establishment of a new a system that denied 80 percent of the people All political rights because of their skin color never rested on the consent of the of it rested on but the rulers could count on most Blacks to Bear the abuse without violent reaction most of the they can no they govern Only by what amounts to an army of occupation in the Black in the rulers hid the illegitimate real Ity of the system from and tried to hide it from by elaborate theories racial Sepa rate Independent now those myths Are the world sees racism for what it the apartheid systems Reliance on Force becomes Ever More in the last 10 months the South african police have killed nearly 500 Black women and Many were simply mowed As in the massacre at site phage in the sweeping Powers of the police to arrest and detain anyone suspected of political unorthodox have been used to take in hundreds of leaders of the United democratic which advocates a no racist South one of the prominent leaders of the movement against Mathew was found his body in circumstances Point ing to the police As the the brutality has been matched by the cynicism of Pretorias offering excuses with no serious expectations of it was All the fault of officials said when they imposed the state of it is president Botha that the situation be normalized in such a Way that the climate for continued dialogue in the interests of All people in the economic and social Fields is in that from a head of government who has had no dialogue whatever with meaningful representatives of 23 million Black the time has passed for those empty political for those government promises of reforms that never touch the essentials of the apartheid this time must see a realistic Hope of what Blacks would Call change a Chance to take part in the political life of their for that there must be real talking not a mythical not a Chat with Blacks chosen by the White but a negotiation Between Blacks and Whites who and that comes Back to the crucial Point of South african As polls have repeatedly overwhelmingly regard one Man As their legitimate rep that is Nelson the imprisoned Leader of the african National in their heart of the White politicians who have locked him up for 21 years know it must be Man that is Why they offered him a conditional release last that is Why they let two foreigners visit him after decades of Complete but it can Only be a Nelson Mandela free without negotiating As an and that is hard for Botha to knowing its necessity though he for he worries about his White and to an amazing degree they live in their suburbs and think life can go on there the outside world can it can focus attention on the need to free As the conservative British government calling for his unconditional it can try to make South Afri can Whites feel in their pockets the revulsion of As France did in stopping new investment and moving for a Security Council and the Reagan administration it took six Days to condemn the declaration of it insisted that it must not break with Pretoria a White House official they listen to we have in fluence for what Bishop Desmond Tutu was surely right to ask what president reagans reaction would have been if the 500 people killed in South Africa had been we will not he where the american administration stood at a time when we needed them Tutu and Many others in South Africa want to end their country they want order the order of not the order of the c 1985 times news service the opinions expressed in the columns and cartoons on this Paw represent m a run m inv to considered As representing those of the stars and stripes or the United states