European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - August 22, 1986, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Pm 6 the stars and stripes Friday August 22,1986 aids estimate May be Low because cd used old data stateside Chicago up estimates of How far the aids virus has spread in the United Stales Are probably Low because they re based on a sexual preference study that is nearly 40 years old a government statistician said wednesday. A report from the Federal centers for disease control issued three months ago used sexual behaviour in the human male a 1948 work by Alfred Kinsey to extrapolate Sample aids data to the whole population said Meade Morgan chief of statistics for the cacs aids program we estimated Between 1 million and a 1.3 million May be infected with the virus but those estimate were based lamely on data done by Kinsey in 1948 on the size of Trie homosexual population he said. There have been no Good surveys aimed at estimating the size of the homosexual population since  Kinsey who interviewed More than 18,000 men an women about their sexual habits in the 1940s and 1950s, reported hat 4 percent of White males were exclusively homosexual Between 6 and 10 percent were to Moscu a for three or More years and 20 per cent had a homosexual experience at least once in their lives. Morgan said he did not know whether using Kin Scy j data meant that the government estimates were inaccurate Bui added that would be a Good guess. We be probably underestimated it Morgan said but emphasized he could not conclude one Way or another in the absence of other data. In terms of being Able to predict futures trend with aids we need More information on the populations at risk said. Morgan Wiio spoke at a National meeting of statisticians. What we really need to know is both the size of the Gay population and the number of men engaging in High risk situations he said. We also need to know How Many people Are using intravenous drugs and How Many Are snaring Needles. Morgan said the current political climate May make it impossible to get accurate estimates on these groups however. I Don t think the government would have much Luck extracting this information he said. "1 Don know How to do it and you d have 10 be very careful about How you would go about it. And the answer May be no that we can t get  not knowing the extent of homosexuality bisexuality and drug use also makes it difficult to predict How much Impact acquired immune deficiency syndrome will have on the general population Morgan said. The fear is that bisexuals May Start spreading it through heterosexual Contact but we Don t know much about this he said. It appears that heterosexual transmission is much less efficient than in homosexual cases but we really Don l know to what  sex Marine says doctors refused to operate because of aids virus san Francisco up a retired Marine Cap lain claims that doctors at Letterman army medical Center refused to give him heart bypass surgery be cause he tested positive for aids antibodies. Letter Nuudi doctors met wednesday for several hour with at Davis 52, of Vallejo Calif. After the meeting Letterman spokeswoman Barbara Mounty id doctors had recommended Davis not undergo the bypass but not because they were afraid of contracting acquired immune deficiency syndrome. They feel that the risk to hit life outweighs the Benefit of surgery she said. Mountrey conceded that fear of infection with aids May have played a part in the decision by doctors last week not to operate on Davis but she insisted that there were other factors. She declined to answer fur ther question i. Davis retired from the marines in 1977 after 7.5 Yean of service including duty in Korea and Vietnam. San Francisco supervisor Quentin Kopp Davis s lawyer said wednesday that he sent a letter of protest to the commanding off Cerf the army medical Center. "1 would expect the array to rectify this matter Kopp said Davis said that Kellerman doctors scheduled bypass surgery for him Las May when he began to have Chest pains. Davis was forced by poor health to give up his Job at a Vallejo defense company. The surgery was put off Davis asserts when the surgeon found out he was homosexual and wanted to wait for results of a blood test for the aids virus. The test came Back positive although Davis said he has no symptoms of aids which attacks the body s immune system and makes it vulnerable to Many ail ments. Aids has been fatal in More than half of the documented cases. Last week Davis was told the operation would not be performed by Letterman doctors because it would be dangerous to heir  50% of French Haemophiliacs infected with aids study shows Boston up a Survey of French Haemophiliacs found about half were infected with the aids virus and 6.8 percent of those infected had infected their wives further evidence the deadly disease can be spread among heterosexuals. What this does is remind us that Haemophiliacs Areat a fairly High risk and that transmission to wives from infected Haemophiliacs certainly can occur said or. Joan Kreiss of the University of Washington in Seattle who has been studying aids among Haemophiliacs. In the French study published wednesday As a let Ter in the new England journal of Medicine research ers surveyed blood centers nationwide and screened 2,062 patients about three fourths of the nation s Haemophiliacs. Antibodies to the aids virus were found in the blood of 50.5 percent of those screened. The wives or sexual partners of 148 patients who tested positively for the aids virus were also screened Tor antibodies and 10, or 6.3 percent tested positively. " the results confirm the risk of heterosexual trans Mission of the aids virus for the sexual partner of patients with Haemophilia said or. Jean Pierre Allain of France s National Center for blood transfusions. Haemophiliacs who lived in areas where the Preva Lence of aids among the general population was greater such As Paris were More Likely to be infected with the Sims Allain said. Haemophiliacs became infected with the aids virus through transfusions of concentrates of missing clot Ling factors they require which bad been made fro blood collected before donors were routinely screened for the disease. Since donors have begun being screened and the blood concentrates they use began being heated to kill any virus contamination the chances of Haemophiliacs acquiring aids has diminished significantly. Or. Dale Lawrence an epidemiologist with the Federal centers for disease control in Atlanta stressed there Isno evidence persons living with Haemophiliacs can be infected with aids through casual Contact Lawrence also noted that few sexual partners of Haemophiliacs who have been infected through sexual Contact have actually developed acquired immune deficiency syndrome which destroy s the body s ability to fight disease. About 21,000 cases of aids have been reported in the United states mostly among homosexual males and intravenous drug abusers. The disease is spread through the Exchange of body fluids. About half the victims have died. In the United states there Are about 12,000 victims of Haemophilia a hereditary disorder that Only affects males in which patients Lack a substance in their blood that is needed for clotting. Fisherman Dies 2 missing in Lake Michigan collision Beaver Island Mich. Up a fishing boat Sank in Northern Lake Michigan alter a apparent collision with a yugoslavian registered freighter leaving one Man dead and two others Crew Rien from the freighter Jaba Linka pulled one of the three fishermen from the water wednesday but the Man identified As Kurt Peterson 27, of Manistique was pronounced dead at a Hospital a Short time Laler a coast guard spokesman  others who were aboard the fishing boat when in Sank were reported missing. They were identified As Russell King 31, and de Perkins 4i, both of Naubinway a coast guard spokes Man said. The fishing boat Sank about 7 Miles West of whiskey Island a coast guard spokesman at Sault sic Marie said. Pugnacious Parrot hailed As crime fighter Coldwater Mich. A red the Macaw turned into a feathered fighting machine attacking a Man who broke into a produce mar Ket apparently foiling a burglary attempt police the cackling crime stopper a popular future at Betty s farm Market in this Rural Southwest Michigan City was being hailed As a hero Amer police nabbed a suspect wednesday in the break  is a Large Parrot it s monstrous said police chief Gary Chester. He s really Friendly but apparently he did t like the Guy tearing the place  said about 11,500 in damage we done to the product and Flower shop where the Macaw has a Perch and freely flies around the store. He said officers were notified of the break in Early wednesday but had no suspects until � City employee found a Man sleeping near a City garage and called police. The suspect said the Only thing he remembers is being attacked by a Large Parrot that bit him several times on the Arm Chester said. He said the Parrot attacked him and he jus went nuts and led the  Martin Sipicth 22, was arraigned wednesday on two counts of malicious destruction of prop erty and one count of breaking and entering. Son saves drowning mom during forbidden swim Quincy mass. Ufos a teen Ager Frolick ing in a Creek swam to the Rescue of a Driver trapped in a submerged car Only to find that the injured to Loris was his Mother who had for Bidden his dip in the Stream. Mary Hunter 37, was forced to veer off the Road and into Black s Creek when her car s brakes failed just after 12 30 . Wednesday Quincy police sgt. Thomas Spillane said. Hunter s son Robert 18, defying Bis Mother s orders was wading in the Brook with a group of friends when he saw he car sink in 12 feet of water until Only its taillights remained above the water police said Robert swam to the vehicle with an unidentified Friend who dived Down broke the car s passenger Side window pulled Hunter from the wreck by her hair and passed her to him. California expands War on Oriental fruit flies san Diego a three Oriental fruit pics have been found in two weeks and a Spray ing program to eradicate the destructive pest is being expanded from 12 to 18 acres. The Oriental fruit Fly attacks More than 150truits and vegetables said county agricultural commissioner Kathleen Turner. It could have serious effects on California agriculture were it to become established she said wednesday. Agricultural officials believe the fruit flies Arne from Hawaii. Turner said some residents of Hawaii illegally Send fruit through the mail to offends on the Mainland