European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - December 11, 1987, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Page 10 the stars and stripes Friday december 11.1987 columns of George will . May be widening window of vulnerability the Man who t ame to dinner came not in Black lie. A badge of Bourgeois stratification but rather a a clips inc Leader of the Vanguard of the proletariat in the sort of Plain worker s Gar ments tailored for him on Saville Row this Man is a disarming flow. He and his Hosl have signed one agreement and Are headed for a much More significant one. Supporters and critics of the agreement on intermediate nuclear forces agree Liml it is loss important for the hardware involved than for the Polit ical context in which it occurs and inc political and strategic tendencies it expresses and intensifies these arc illuminated by the coming agreement 10 eliminate about so percent of the warheads on strategic systems. Such reductions might serve the Only important purpose farms control enhanced stability of deterrence if the remaining warheads Are on the right i Mure of systems and if subsequent presidents do not feel compelled to seek As obligatory encores even More destabilizing deep reductions. Furthermore a so percent reduction i he enhance the feasibility of strategic defense by limiting the intensity of the potential barrage to be defended against. And a first strike to be defended against after a 50 percent reduction might require strategic de lenses very different and less baroque than the one using hundreds of satellites to destroy heavy ss-l8s aimed at silo based . Missiles. However there Are two problems. Strategic defense May be dying on the Vine. And the United Stales resists a decision that would alter the configuration of the . Deterrent and hence soviet targeting and hence the suitable strategic defense. That decision is to deploy to bile missiles. The Reagan administration promised to close the window of vulnerability the vulnerability of . Land based icbms to a disarming soviet first strike. The administration May be opening that window wider and jamming it open per William Buckley Manenty with the coming agreement. Negotiations arc focused on the ques Tion of a i limits within the limit of 50 percent o current totals. The crucial sub Imil i said to concern the soviets heavy am. Highly accurate silo busting missiles. I it the emphasis on that Hubli Mil is a residue of Salt ii when . Strategic planners assumed the modernization of the . Icbms Force with 200 my missiles deployed in some Mode that would present Soviel targe Tori with multiple aim Points by using some mobility and protective shelters. Now however because of the Mutual assured destruction of the my programs at the hands of Congress and Reagan we can count on Only 50 mrs. And those sitting like fat ducks in old silos. Even kept in readiness on rails they would be vulnerable to Surprise at tack. After 50 percent reductions of War Heads the ratio of soviet warheads to . Land based missiles probably will be worse. Even if the sub limits arc fiddled so that the ratio becomes a bit better it is inconceivable that it will become sufficiently better to make a few Hundred . Silos secure. We can no count on the survivability of bombers which could be destroyed on their runways by missiles launched on Short Low trajectory flights from submarines near . Coasts. Such missiles could also destroy a significant portion of the third leg of the strategic triad those ballistic missile submarines in port at the time of attack. We would be left with nuclear armed submarines at sea a few Trident and whatever other sub marines carry cruise missiles unless the administration negotiates away these cruise missiles too. The answer to the vulnerability of land Bawd icbms is mobility. But to bile missiles Are hard to count. Counting is crucial to arms control and arms control is under Reagan As under Carter and Ford and Nixon the Centrepiece of .-Sovicl relations. Therefore mobility is considered a problem not a so Lution. Granted. Inc soviet Union has three times the . Land mass in which to move and hide Mobile missiles. And it has no Domestic opposition of the sort from some of Reagan s conservative friends out Wisl that blocked an my Basing Mode involving mobility. The Pentagon Calls such opposition a Public interface  but the United states is not Andorra it i big enough to accommodate mobility. The question is How serious is it Aboul survival docs the president understand Why the soviets arc suddenly saying ski is a deferrable problem they recognize the slow strangulation of a Complex collaborative scientific Enterprise. Strangulation is the result of three factors. One is Reagan s acquit since in a temporary seven to 10 years the number hardly matters undertaking nol to exercise the right to withdraw from the abm treaty. The second is Congress determination to enforce a narrow interpretation of what that treaty allow to the Way of testing of defensive systems. The third is the Reagan deficit. Nothing is More permanent than a temporary arms control arrangement. Any deviation would be denounced Ai contrary to the spirit of the arms control  the narrow interpretation is therefore forever and will pre vent the sort of tests neck Sarv to prove strategic defense feasible. In the context of permanent fiscal constraint Congress will indict on strategic defense an Ane Mia thai will drive scientists to other projects thai Are not permanently in the subjunctive lense. So after the inf agreement weakens inc .-nato link and enhances Soviel conventional Force advantages the next agreement May enlarge the vulnerability of . Strategic forces and the leverage of Soviel conventional forces. Gorba Chev is a disarming fellow. Fam/7y values fade but Oil we hear is so what to lift one s eyes and spirits for a moment from the Summit hear this. A Cambridge mass., re search organization weighs in with the most startling Datum la is that men and women who live together before marriage judging from a swedish Sample have a higher divorce rate than men and women who do not. By 80 percent. The Only inference Given Over the news broadcast As to Why this should be so is that perhaps those couples who did not cohabit before marriage held the institution in greater respect. The Datum is one of those heavy anti pop sociology items that come in from time to time rather like the finding that Margaret fcad"5 samoans were actually a wretched lot with their free sex or that the slate new Hampshire that spends the least on Public schools gets the highest sat scores or that students reeking with sen education in the schools contract More venereal disease than those who do not. La has got to be the Hoa Riest Assumption of free thought that the very Best Way to ascertain strategic compatibility Between potential husbands and wives is for them to share quarters together As Man and wife. Even the orthodox have hesitated to Challenge the generality because la docs sound so Well sensible does it not but suddenly the figures come in and they contradict that cozy Assumption. Which leads to the question what is it that a monogamous society is supposed to do to provide what or . Skinner would Call positive reinforcement for the  of monogamous life i recently recalled that up until about 35 years ago inc Royal enclosure at Ascot would nol admit anyone who had been divorced. The tradition a strange one to be sure to evolve from the head of a denomination founded by Henry Viii was first waived to permit Anthony Eden then the prime minister of great Britain into the enclosure notwithstanding that he had indeed been divorced. The reason for the exemption it was discreetly Given was that in the Case of Eden is. Eden it was unmistakably the lady who had been aggressively unfaithful. Granted to apply inc old Rule strictly now Adays would require the Queen to forbid her sister Access to the enclosure and that would cause in Domestic terms what in political terms we would Call a constitutional crisis but the question crystallizes How is Monog Amy to be encouraged we know if Only because we remember that Thomas Jefferson Lold us it was so thai Laws arc far less important than Public opinion which Laws tend merely to codify. What kind of social pres sures today survive on the matter of bigamy in recent weeks much Public attention has been Given to a spectacularly successful British gentleman who like Alee guinness in the wonderful movie the Captain s Paradise keeps iwo families. The difference being that guinness wife in Algiers knew nothing Aboul guinness wife in Gibraltar and the whole Point of inc Story revolved around the Dis covery by wife a of the existence of wife a and of i heir complementary social habits. That movie s plot Structure is Aboul As antique As moral austerity at the Ascot enclosure if there is a reason today for wife a not knowing about wife Bil would have to do with jealousy not with social toleration. The gentleman in question evidently keeps to fam Ilies in different countries. And this is advertised by those who write Aboul him with the same nonchalance Wilh which one would treat someone who had a Castle in Spain and a chateau in France la has been hinted thai the gentleman polygamist was denied a seat in inc House of lords because of his provocative Domestic arrangements but the question before the House is really Are such arrangements provocative they Are hardly new. Those who notice these things Are aware that or. . Hunt of Texas had a wife in Dallas his Public wife and another elsewhere. Bui again the arrange ments were highly discreet. Highly discreet because in was acknowledged in those Days i million years ago i.e., before Woodstock thai bigamous arrange ments were How dare one put it anti Christian is Loo weak nobody cares. In american Bui Whai s in american did l we abolish the House committee on in american activities because we could t agree on what was in american All we have to worry Aboul is the gradual evanescence of the family. Twenty five percent of our families arc headed by a single Parent 95 percent of them women. Soso what is All we hear around us. The opinion  a in column Ana cd Tooni xxi thu by up imn tfx Ini no it id Titi re Jred Jiu in no y a let considered k Jep Manl Iraq Iril rows or to c to 3nf or Proa at inn Len Ila