European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - March 14, 1988, Darmstadt, Hesse                                World s birthrate to begin declining soon expert says sunday March 14, 1988 the stars and stripes Page 3 Tallo ires. France a within the next 12 Yean the global birthrate will begin declining for the first Lime in recent history a group of development experts said saturday. Or. William Fogec. Director of the task Force for child survival and for Mer head of the National centers for Dis ease control in Atlanta made the prediction on the final Day of a three Day conference of top level experts. Attend ing the conference were the Heads of the world Bank Unicof who the United Stales Agency for International development and about a dozen health ministers. Demographers and others have predicted that the birthrate would not begin stabilizing until the Middle of the next Century. But of Csc said the Peak for number of births will be reached in the next 8 to 12 years at which Point we will have the first decline in recent history. This will be a momentous occasion in the history of the  nearly All the participants agreed with Foege s prediction. The common perception that a lower infant mortality rate leads to a Popula Tion explosion appears to be wrong Saidur. Kenneth Warren of the Rockefeller foundation. Evidence indicates that a decrease in child mortality is followed by a decrease in the rate of birth. So industrialized countries which have healthier children have Low birthrates. Experts at the meeting said Latina Erica and Asia also seem to be follow ing this trend with growing numbers of countries reporting declining births As child survival improves. One of the reasons women in poor countries have Large families is to offset the loss of children to disease according to the experts. Using world Bank data forge exam ined trends in infant mortality and birth rates from i960 to the present predicted infant mortality by country through the year 2000 and used this As the basis for estimating the crude birthrate. If we re wrong we re Only wrong by afew years the concept in t wrong of Csc said adding that the decline could occur about 2005. People have considered that world population growth would continue indefinitely Warren said. The question has been is Man going to overrun and de stroy the whole planet it s something people have been despairing about. Or. Of Csc is saying they wont and that is very Good  previous predictions have said that bythe Lime a plateau in birthrate is reached in the Middle of the next Century the world population would be about 13 Bil lion. If Foege s timetable is Correct the world population would stabilize at about 8 billion by about 2150. Because of increased life expectancy and other factors the population level will take at least several decades to level Oft after the birthrate. There s full agreement on the prediction said James p. Grant executive director of Unicof. With the kinds of improvements in survival we be Bee talking about at this meeting the decline could come even  shoe Trees a photo by gut sch Mllton it s not Spring yet but this tree in St. Oeden Rode Netherlands seems to be blossoming Early. On a closer look the observer notes that he blossoms Are actually wooden shoes. The tree be Long to the local wooden shoe museum which opens its doors april 1 in he Small own North of Eindhoven. Of Deer it s still another allergy trigger los Angeles a some Hunt ers develop Stuffy noses wheezing and hives around Deer in what one researcher Calls a Case of Bambi strikes Back and some people arc literally allergic to exer Cise scientists have found. Research also shows that cockroaches often prompt asthmatics to wheeze while fleas make others sneeze the scientists say. Their studies of unusual often unrecognized and potentially deadly allergies arc being presented during the american Academy of allergy and immunology annual meeting which opened Friday and ends wednesday. There s All kind of weird triggers to allergies said or. Robert k. Bush a University of Wisconsin allergist and chief of allergy at the veterans administration Hospital in Madison. Bush co authored the study of 12 Deer sensitive Wisconsin Hunters with or. . Most of the Hunters suffered congestion hives asthma sneezing Runny noses itchy eyes and swollen eyelids and lips after inhaling Deer hair or touch ing the animals hair saliva blood or urine. One was a state Deer checker who went into allergic Shock after cutting his hand on a tag he placed on a Deer. The Man recovered. Poor Bambi gels shot. Then Bambi strikes Back. That s a Good headline Bush said. The allergy Academy s president or. Albert she Flor of Harvard University medical school co authored the largest study to Date of exercise induced allergic Shock which was first recognized in1969 and is characterized by hives choking and or a life threatening drop in blood pressure and loss of conscious  the study outlined saturday by har Vard s or. John Wade Analysed a group of 199 people who develop allergic Shock called anaphylaxis when they exercise. The cause of exercise allergy is unknown. While exercise induced Shock is life threatening we Don t have any Evi Dence anybody died from it shelter said. Or. Bann rang head of the allergy Section at the University of Kentucky medical Center in Lexington said her study of 680 asthmatics in Chicago found 283 of them were allergic to body parts eggs and faces of cockroaches in House dust an allergy first identified in new York in 1967. They usually have very severe in tractable asthma she said. They have attacks All the  while Flea bites arc known to cause hives a new study revealed fleas body parts inhaled from House dust also Trig Ger allergic reactions said the study s author research associate Waller Trudeau of the University of South Florida school of Medicine and the veterans administration Hospital in Tampa. Trudeau s study found 18 of 100 consecutive patients treated Al an allergy clinic for other allergies also were allergic to fleas thai invaded i hair Homes aboard their cats or dogs.  injections can eliminate allergies to pollens House dust and cockroaches but there is no effective scrum to desensitize people allergic to Deer fleas or exercise the researchers said. People allergic to fleas should gel rid of their Pels or Al least exterminate the fleas Trudeau said. Hunters allergic Modeer should Stop Hunting if necessary. Bush said. People prone to develop exercise induced allergic Shock should not exercise for at least tour to six hours after  since exercise allergy often causes symptoms Only if Aller Genic foods were consumed Sci Ter said. Libya frees alleged British spy serving life sentence London a British Engineer James Abra who was serving a life sentence in a libyan prison for alleged spying was released sunday the foreign office said. Abra 59, was released in the libyan capital of Tri poli into the custody of inc head of the British interests Section Al the italian embassy said the spokesman speaking anonymously in keeping with British Cus Tom. He said Abra who was employed by the Plessy co. Pc the British electronics giant was Likely to leave for Britain on sunday. Labor party lawmaker Ron Brown who has close personal links with libyan Leader col. Moa mar Gad Dali and has been instrumental in winning the release of several other britons imprisoned in Libya flew to Tripoli on saturday to be on hand for Abra s release. Abra the last briton imprisoned in Libya was arrested on june 20, 1985, in the departure lounge of Tripoli Airport and accused of passing classified information to Plessy and an unnamed foreign govern ment. He was convicted of spying in april 1986 and sentenced to life imprisonment. Plessy denied Abra had Access to sensitive information. He had worked for Plessey s radar division for 14 years installing maintaining and servicing electronic equipment. His czech born wife Radislava. 58, died of a heart attack last july after a fire at their Home in Hitchin 32 Miles North of London. According to reports on Jana Libya s official news Agency the libyan government declared an amnesty for foreigners of various nationalities held in libyan prisons. Britain broke diplomatic relations with Libya in april 1984 after a London police officer was fatally hot during a libyan dissident demonstration. Britain said she was killed by a libyan shooting from inside the embassy