European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - June 11, 1988, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Paga 10 columns William Safire the stars and stripes Israel needs Clear mandate support from . Jerusalem the israelis have finally figured out a Way to contain the palestinian Intifada or uprising in the disputed territories arrests and detention a few deportations and mainly an economic squeeze thai creates dissension among demonstrators. Palestinians however can to expected to continue the Intifada m a lower level in a War of attrition sporadic strikes some Molotov cocktails murder of local mayors enough provocation to ensure a military a Sponie Hal brings prime Lime coverage. The West Bank and Gaza Are the Only places that understandably embittered arabs can demonstrate without being decimated in Jordan and Syria uprisings were silenced quickly by mass Slaughter. A i to takeover of inc indigenous rebellion was delayed by the killing in Tunis of Abu jihad the Mas Ter terrorist by israeli commandos. No apologies arc offered Here for this act of War though the . Denounced the assassination we had no compunction about shooting Down Admiral Isoroku Yamamoto s plane in world War ii or trying to put a smart bomb in Fittl Moa mar Qadhafi s tent a few years ago in retaliation for the killing of . Servicemen. Nut there can be no denying the Success of the new strategy of Intifada from the arabic verb for to shake Loose in inc four decade Arab War to destroy Israel. Arab leaders now confab lating in Algiers monarchy and dictators who have Long manipulated rather than helped their palestinian Brethren Are exhibiting a new Militancy. Meanwhile opinion of jews in Israel has polarized. The Intifada has produced these two contradictory gut reactions sometimes in the same gut they hate us. No use resisting this wave of nationalism they arc brutalizing our Young soldiers and win Ning the sympathy of the world so give them most of inc land they want and maybe they will leave us alone. They hate us. They Don t want Only the West Hank they want what their leaders say they want All of Israel. Appeasement will not work it will just give them a base from which to stack us. And it s not just inc Plo do we want when the Iran Iraq War ends 10,000 he Bollash fanatics 10 Miles from Tel Aviv it is easy enough for people a world away to prefer the Flat teries of Hope and to deride the counsels of fear but profound anxiety in these circumstances is hardly irrational. Israel has the Power today to pulverize invading planes and tanks but faces a More elemental kind of jihad fur which no conventional defense can be impenetrable. The deepening Annie la Here can be assuaged Only by the emergence of Arab leaders Strong enough and courageous enough to make compromises that Flora Lewis i m oot slowing Dmn to off Iukes Arab extremists will not now tolerate. Jews have Learned the hard Way to take seriously the threat of their enemies. Secretary George Shutlz is frustrated and furious because he has what he thinks is an equitable solution on paper. Israel s leaders of left and right also have solutions in the backs of their minds that involve vary ing degrees of land or autonomy for final settlement. All that is needed is a non terrorist Arab Leader with whom to sit Down face to face and Deal. He docs not yet exist. The designated moderate middleman Jordan s King Hussein not Only demanded con Cessions beforehand bul required a line up of Powers to coerce Israel into a predetermined withdrawal. Now even that is not enough the duplicitous Little King is worried about an Intifada on his own East Bank and crap Only attacks the . And romances the Plo. He suddenly wants nothing to do with a confederation which was yesterday s instant solution. Of what docs Israel do now hang Tough until the Intifada fades away draw up its own lines and donate inc rest of the land to whatever palestinian is left standing after the ensuing carnage accede to an inter National conference that will Divide Jerusalem and hand Over the West Bank with minor modifications to the Plo none of the above. Israel now engages in the glory of Western civil ipalion an election Campaign with its culmination one week before our own. Israel s chief ally should Slop campaigning for one Side As the Reagan administration has shamelessly been doing for labor s Shimon Peres. Labor is. Liked offers voters a Clear Choice Between risk and prudence americans should allow israelis to make up their minds and then we should Back the winning policy. Card carrying hard liners like me Hope the right wingers win. Because we think Arab intransigence justifies More fear than Hope at this moment. Bul if labor wins so be it. A mandate either Way beats the paralysis of another two headed government. Clio Vick tit of French voters looking for reliability practicality Paris president Francois Mitter Rand stole a March on his vanquished opponents after his re election to a Sec Ond seven year term last month. He had run on a Promise of opening to the Cen Ter and uniting  Bui he won so handsomely that he used his Power to dissolve inc Assembly where the conservatives had won a majority in 1986. The polls then predicted a socialist tidal wave and he Fri led out loud that it would t be Good for France to be governed by Only one party last sunday in the first round of legislative elections the voters relieved what real fears he May have had of a drastic Jolt to the left. To most people s Surprise the bickering conservatives held together and came out with 40.4 percent ahead of the socialists 37,5 per cent. But it should t have been such a big Surprise. The French have been tinkering with their electoral system switching from single member constituencies to proportional representation and Back again. Each time the change was made by the party in Power expecting a sol id gain and each Lime inc voters turned it into a disadvantage. Sunday in the final round the socialists May still win an absolute majority of scats thanks to the system installed by former Premier Jacques Chirac s conservatives but it now appears the results will be fairly close. Willy Nilly the Brief Campaign has reverted to the old left is. Right Duel. Nonetheless it is misleading. The French Are neither so volatile nor so polarized As the figures make them seem. Rather they have taken to juggling their Voles in an attempt to maintain a certain balance. They have a Handicap imposed by the politicians. On the argument that the Public might be unduly influenced publication of polls is forbidden in the two weeks before elections. The polls arc taken and politicians and their friends know the results and Man Euver accordingly. But the electors Are left to project 2-Wcck-old information if they want to play the swing. Thus last sunday s results were heavily influenced by the extraordinarily Low turnout. One voter in three stayed away in the  this would be a record High nowadays but for France it was a record Tow. Analysts assume it was because of the expected socialist landslide and peo ple thought their votes would t make a difference. Both sides suffered from abstentions. The apparent resurgence of the communists from 9.8 percent in 1986 to 11.3 percent this Lime was also a Distor Tion due to the turnout. Their raw vote went up by just under 25,000, from 2,740,972 in 1986 to 2,765,761 last Sun Day. That does Brake their continued slide from 4,065,540 16.1 percent in the 1981 presidential election but it is by no Means a substantial reversal the Basic trend of French politics Over the last decade or More Hain t really changed. It is toward evening out the hard left right antagonism of the gaullist years piling up a disputed Middle that permits Power to be shifted on the basis of nuances and personalities not the old do or Dic red or Black issues. Center is still something of a dirty word among French politicians and the panics an organized in a Way that veils its importance. But thai is the Way France is moving. The thumping Success of the far right s Jean Marie be pen who won 14.4 per cent in the nationwide May Vole was Cut Back to 9.8 percent last week with pros peels of being All but wiped out of the legislature. Thai shows his was a real protest vote not a Choice of new direction. Nobody imagined that Mitterrand s Victory called for renewal of his first term Promise to change  Ralh or it endorsed his steady hand at the Helm Over the last two years when he had to share Power with Chirac. Whether sunday s results re impose direct Power sharing or not French voters seem to be pushing for a bipartisan approach to major issues. There has been a Broad recognition thai no Side has a fool proof solution to Modem problems. Peo ple Aren t looking for pie in the sky from socialists or conservative. They Are looking for reliability and practicality. It can be argued despite the appear Ance of an entrenched right in by v in and West Germany that this is Genen uly True in Western Europe. The visible Tan Gible failure of communism Poland has just Hud to announce the collapse of its free health care system Long the major Pride of communist slates has not realty shoved the ideological pendulum Back to la Issei fair. A new synthesis is developing beneath the familiar party structures and she boo i chs. That is to the Good. Postures inherited from the social conflicts of the first Industrial revolution arc Well warn out. Politics is starting to catch up. Len Cwych tones