European Stars and Stripes (Newspaper) - September 06, 1994, Darmstadt, Hesse                                World population population growth is stabilizing in the industrialized countries of the world but skyrocketing in the developing countries. The current w Raj population is 57 trillion. By the year2050, that figure could reach 12,5 total Fertility rate average births per woman aged 1549, esl 1990-94 rate vanes widely from Region to Region. Where people live the proportions of people living in developed an developing countries Are changing rapidly. The prove Lions  medium Var Tahl which is considered the most Likely these Long rang figures assume continued declining Fertility. Without it. Population growth could be much More rapid in the first half of exl Century. 2200 11.6 billion stabilization r tl8jg? 2100 11.2 billion s i a form a soviet Union 2025 8.3 billion or or of r a dropped from six births per woman in1965 to 1,7 last year. I i  of 19945.7 billion , t population the projected to Rise. Contraceptive a i Colombia has own from 20 percent of women in1970 to at least 70percent today. Growth rats 19$0s More than eight Chiw rennet woman one of he word a Nghil 5 v Kenya s growth rate a dropped from 4 st1980sto3 per cent world s popular Kim 1970 3.7 billion 17 years or less 3.0-3.w%v10-23 years 1.01.99% " Yaw indicate firm in a Tab 3570yw 1900 1.7 billion 300 million 1000 310 million 1500 500 million t .m1 popu lation 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 200021005 0years sources overseas development Council United nations population fund a / Karl Gude world problems continued from Page 15. Condoms intrauterine devices has doubled to 33 percent and the Fertility rate has dropped from 8 to 5.4 children per woman. _ _ Kenya a nation of 27 million people headed for 45 million by the year 2010, is an exception in Africa. Over the horizon in Uganda Malawi and Mali the Fertility rate remains Over 7, and fewer than one in 10 women uses contraceptives. The reasons Are Many lower education Levels uninterested governments higher rates of infant mortality a subconscious Spur to the birth rate. You can t do this sort of thing when your country is in turmoil suffering from political instability from drought and famine said . Bullott director of Kenya s National Council for population and development. But even Kenya has a Long Way to go. Surveys suggest an additional one third of kenyan women want to limit family size but Are not using contraceptives. Getting services to them  More Aid Money and greater efforts to overcome male resistance and cultural and religious taboos. This unmet need May be most pressing among kenyans under age 18, who Are barred from receiving contraception services illegal abortions Are becoming commonplace among teen agers in the slums of Nairobi Kenya s capital said sociologist Shany Isa Kasiani we re burying our Heads in the Sand she said. The population Council wants to lower the age for contraception services to 15. That would make a significant difference in the Fertility rate the Council s Joseph Ndambuki said. But the government is wary of the roman Catholic Church a powerful local Force that opposes even current family planning programs. 1 if All unmet needs were met the kenyan Fertility rate still would probably drop no lower than about four children per woman a Long Way from the ultimate goal of two per couple after which a population eventually stabilizes. To get there Kenya and dozens of other developing nations must undergo a revolution in education and in. Giving women greater economic roles and Security and More say Over reproduction. The Cairo conference is addressing such themes big boosts in foreign Aid for family planning dealing with religious objections helping women. But in country after country a still greater Force is. Limiting family sizes. At a clinic in Nwogu Ini Tabitha Wanohi 30, explained in homely terms Why Shell have no More. Four is enough she said and then laughed. Nowadays with inflation you have to take care. Otherwise they can go naked and  poverty overcrowding hard times Are combining to slow Down the species in Many places including in the planet s most densely populated land in far off so thasia. The politics of too Many people by Charles j. Hanley the associated press e sleep in the streets of Bombay family by threadbare family. We re squatters in african game preserves evicting the elephants As we scratch for room. We fight for space in Dhaka Bangladesh the most densely populated City in the world. And in chock Block Cairo Egypt we even dispossess the dead setting up House in mausoleums. Twenty years from now when there May be 2 billion More human beings to feed clothe and House where on Earth will they put us All looking for answers humanity s representatives Are packing hotels in Cairo Egypt by the thousands for this week s International conference on population and development Tim Wirth the is undersecretary of state for global affairs and chief . Delegate to the conference says governments know what must be done to control the growth of global population now 5.7 billion. There s a huge unmet need out there and it s absolutely imperative that we do everything we can to meet that need or our children grandchildren and great grandchildren will face an untenable situation Wirth said  unmet need identified via surveys is an estimated 120 million couples in developing nations who want to limit their family size but Are not using contraceptive if because they re unavailable because of tradition because of ignorance. To help reach Thern the Clinton administration has increased . Foreign Aid for family planning to $600 million a year from $400 million. Other governments Are doing likewise. The Cairo conference s proposed program of action Calls for still More a quadrupling of International support to almost $6 billion by the year 2000. A How the world responds May determine whether human population stays below 8 billion or tops 12 billion by the year 2050, . Projections show. But Cairo will be More than arithmetic. The Vatican has grabbed headlines with a pre  Campaign against abortion a fringe Issue in the Cairo document and against contraceptives for teen agers something closer to the heart of the action blueprint. Women s groups meanwhile have campaigned to gear Down the family planning bandwagon a notch to look at whether third world women s health is being Hurt and their broader interests Are being neglected in the crush of pills Luis and implants. R in the Gritty jostling slums of Cairo an old Metropolis of 13 million people such life and birth issues play out daily. Magda Abdel Halim 30, a Barefoot Black Robed _ client in a family plan ring clinic said she and her husband have two children and will have no More. They Cost so much food clothes  she uses an id intrauterine device. But some neighbors Are a different Story she said. Some Don t use contraceptives and they have nine or 10 children since the . Government began pouring $170 million in Aid into egyptian family planning 16 years ago the program has made major headway. Today about half of married women use Wirth to 5 a we a. , staff of a Mobile family planning Clink distributes free condoms in a slum on the outskirts of Cairo Egypt. Contraceptives double the proportion of 1980. The Fertility rate the number of children born to the average woman has dropped from 5.3 to 3.9. Still the National population now 59 million grows by More than a million a year. Egypt cannot create the jobs or deliver the services to keep up. Population specialists know they need More Money to Deal with Egypt s unmet need an estimated 20 percent of married women who would use contraceptives if they could. To get to them the new population ministry must Send More family planing vans to Distant villages sign on More women doctors the preference of egyptian wives and build up staff for face to face campaigns. We May have to go to their houses and explain the advantages of family planning said or. Suzan Abdel Aziz the slum clinic s director. But she also sounded a cautionary note saying too Many women Are rushed into contraceptive methods improperly. Some Given Luis develop complications that go untreated. Some on the Pill  counselled on Likely Side effects. We need to take More time with them Aziz said. Her concerns Are amplified by women s advocacy groups. Egypt is concentrating on Luis and a lot of the women Are developing infections that Are not treated said Mona Zulfikar of Cairo s women s health improvement association. She maintains that family planning clinics should be upgraded to provide More comprehensive care for women. Similar complaints arise across the developing world too Many inappropriate sterilizations of women too Little attention paid to sexually transmitted diseases too Little done to reduce maternal mortality including deaths from unsafe abortions. Zulfikar and other activists have pushed through reproductive health planks in the Cairo document telling the world in effect to care less about Fertility numbers and More about women s health. The draft document goes beyond that too to describe women s empowerment As key to population control. Only when they get educational and Job opportunities in countries like Egypt will Young women Stop seeing motherhood As their sole Road to status and Security feminists say. In a provocative article last March world Bank economist Lant Pritchett scoffed at family planning crusaders reducing the demand for children for instance by giving girls More education is vastly More important to reducing Fertility than providing More  Battle lines Are forming the family planners have an Edge. Although the Cairo document bulges with rhetoric on behalf of women s status spending targets Are set Only for family planning programs. First things first and that s family planning concluded a , Aid official. Egypt s population minister Meher Mahran sounds just As single minded. The carrying capacity of the Globe has been surpassed already he said. There is no possibility at this Point of postponing or adding new  the most compelling argument May lie in the . Projections. Depending on whether Fertility Levels fall quickly the world just 20 years from now will have to support either 7.2 billion people or 7.9 billion. The difference equals the current population of All Africa. By then teeming Cairo s cemetery squatters May begin to envy their neighbors the perpetual lease holders of the City of the dead. 16 the stars and stripes tuesday september 6, 1994 the stars and stripes 17