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Publication: European Stars and Stripes Thursday, January 23, 1986

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   European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - January 23, 1986, Darmstadt, Hesse                                The stars and stripes thursday january 23,1986page 24 the a Sibb Economy s growth in 85 was sluggish Washington a the . Economy grew n sluggish 2.3 percent last year even slower Thim previously thought inc jul Rymont reported wednesday. This marked the slowest Pace for the Economy since n 2,1 percent decline in growth during the recession year of 1582. The Commerce department s lower Ali male stemmed from a Sharp downward re vision fur economic activity in the final Thwe Mon he of it year. The Gross National product the broadest my siiri of economic health grew at an admin i Rule of just 1.4 percent in the fourth Cju Arter. Down shrimp by from an initial Esti mate of 3.1 percent made in december. The revision shaved growth for the year u 3.3 percent instead of the 2.4 percent Raic estimated last month. The Economy grew 3.4 percent in 1983 tin 6.6 per Etna in 1984. The big revision in growth for the fourth Quarter  med from a sharply higher estimate of the country s ind a deficit and a big jump in inflation. As measured by a Gnu lid inflation measure prices were rising at an annual rate of 4.5 percent in the final Hirte months of inc year the highest rate since the first Quarter Oglw. The big jump in inc on fact weight Price Index came from widespread increases m a variety of prices including the first increase in the Price of imported goods since the second Quarter of 1984". Commerce so Cregory Malcolm Btu Ige briefing reporters on the Gnu report said that More than half of the big jump in inflation in the fourth Quarter came from a big Rise in food costs and a any increase for the military. He said both factors were Tempo Rary and did not signal that inflation which has been dormant in recent years was be ginning to pick up he also downplayed the Rise in import prices which had been falling for five straight quarters. He Saij he did not share the concerns of Many economists that higher costs for foreign products would drive infill i Ion up in 1986. Bal Ribic said that Prosk cts seem Good to achieve the administration s forecast of 4 percent growth in the Gnu for 1986. The various changes left the Gnu after adjusting far inflation at $3.57 trillion for 1985, compared to j3.49 trillion for 1984. For he fourth Quarter. The Gnu Fovel was put at s3.61 trillion. The Reagan administration has been working actively with other countries to drive the value of the Dollar Down in an Effort to rectify the country s huge Trade deficits. Much of the deficit has been blamed on a High Dollar making imports cheaper and thus More attractive to Ameri cans while making . Goods More expensive and harder to sell Oversea Bui the High value of the Dollar has had beneficial effects particularly in holding Down inflation. The 4.5 percent rate of m crease in the Gnu inflation int ten would be a warning int inflation next year will begin rising. But for 1985, the Gnu inflation Index Rose 3.6 percent the Best annual performance for this Price Index since a 3 percent Rise in 1967. The performance for 1985 was sharply lower than Reagan administration est Cotta Lions. The administration had predicted thai the Economy would grow at u 2.7 per cent Rale for the Clire year and 3 percent when measuring the Gnu level from the fourth Quarter of 1984 to the fourth Quarter of 1985. Using Thi comparison he Gnu Rose 2.5 percent in 1985. For 1986, the administration is or dicing a Sharp rebound in growth to a level of 4 fervent. However Many private analysts Are expecting 1986 to per Fonn much like last year with growth coming in St below 3 percent. The Commerce department said imports surged at an annual Rote of 13 percent faster than an 8 percent Rale of growth for exports. This left the Trade deficit is measured by the Gnu Al a record annual Rale of i 27.6 billion in the final four months of the year. The fourth Quarter growth Rale was Down from a 3 percent role in the third Quarter casting doubt on the administration s belief that the Economy is in the midst of a significant rebound in activity. Bui some private analysts agree Ihal the Economy did rebound in december and that tests from Page 1 Active duty personnel and another  rail lion civilian workers including some 449,000 civilians working for the army. The army s directive is currently being readied for publication. But in response to queries by the associated press the army agreed to answer 4 list of written question a Boulls program according to thai response the army intends to lest civilians in four Broad categories aviation saw enforcement Safe keeping of chemical or nuclear materials and those responsible for conducting the lab tests or overseeing the army s drug and alcohol prevention program. The aviation category includes seven Job classes ranging from pilots to air traffic controllers and mechanics. The Tow enforcement category lists four Job classes including guards police criminal investigators and correctional officers. The other two categories Are not broken into Job classes. According to a to Una provided by the army the order initially wit of fact at least 9,434 civilians 2,831 aviation employees 3,696 Law enforcement employees 2,257 chemical and nuclear surety employees and 650 lab workers and drug prevention employees. The army directive slates that no one will be allowed to obtain a Job in a critical category without taking a mandatory urinalysis test. Those already holding such collision from Paga 1 month old child. The helicopters of the Lith Arrond Cav Reg a Ere on a routine training Mission in preparation for certain Sentinel when they collided about 2 . Friday near Mark try Switz. Civilian military operations Center officials have recorded three accidents involving military equipment since the official Start of Maneu vers monday in Northern a Varia staff sgt. Doris Flack said. Officials Are drawing distinctions be tween recordable and reportage Acci dents. While All accidents Are reportable Only those where damage exceeds 1700 Are recordable. The number of accidents reported since Jan. 10 is 121. They include 105 motor vehicle accidents ii track vehicle accidents one fire and two separate army aircraft accidents involving a total of three helicopters. Tow officials did not include eight Heli copters damaged on the ground sunday by High winds and flying Debri that whipped across an army Airfield in Giebels Ladt. Twenty six soldiers were injured in the motor vehicle accidents and one in a track vehicle Accident. Seven civilian injuries have been reported. Officials at the Man Euver damage control Center at Herzo base reported 541 unconfirmed incidents of Man Euver damage through Midnight tuesday. An unconfirmed Case in one that has been reported but not necessarily investigated they said. Damage As slight As a Mirror knocked off a car was reported. Most of the major damage reports came from the Craven Wocher area and cast of a new bid of stage con Roversi a play dropped Cologne Germany a another bid to stage a Rainer Werner fas Semder play criticized As anti semitic was scrapped wednesday after theater officials decided a showing would cause bad provocation. The City owned buturm theal Crouse in this Rhineland City said it had cancelled the planned feb. I opening performance following Sharp protests from jews and other groups. Any showing would live occurred in an unpleasant climate of suspicion allegations fear and misunderstanding the the Ater said in a statement. It was the third cancellation of Der Muell die suit und Der Tod garbage the City and death in Germany in less than three months. A premiere in Frankfurt was scrapped after jewish protesters occupied the stage oct. 31, and a showing in Kassel was cancelled last month. Jobs must sign a written statement explain ing the program As a condition of employ  refusal to sign can Lead id reassignment to a non critical Job demotion or removal from Federal str Iee the army said while testing on a continuing basis is auth Oritta for those holding critical jobs the local commander controls testing schedules based on an assessment of the local situation the army said. A positive lest for a Job applicant will mean the individual will be denied further consideration for a critical  a positive test for an existing employee May Lead loan offer of counselling or treatment but such employees also May be subject to Adverse action proceedings including removal for a first offence line running from Bay Reub to Amberg they said. Most off Road damage has been the result of units getting into Assembly areas. The ground in the lower elevations is a sponge of mud with minor flooding in some areas. Snow was reported in higher elevations Northeast of Nuernberg wednesday but the Sun occasionally peeked through the heavy Cloud cover in some areas. With ground conditions classified red no heavy vehicles May tactically More across open country. However an air assault involving More than 70 helicopters at two Bridges near Bimberg 15 Miles North of Nuernberg took place As planned wednes Day. The weather forecast for thursday Calls for the same sea Ert thunderstorms and rainfall that Bas vented 73,000 troops from moving out. Temperatures Art peeled to remain in the Low to High thirties thursday. Jews and Many West German political leaders have raid the play s anti semitic dialogue is intolerable in a nation with Strong memories of the nazi orchestrated mass murder of jews in 1933-45, a major character in the play u a jews j real estate Speculator in Frankfurt w d is reviled in one Strelch of dialogue by a anti semitic tenant whose apartment Back is destined for demolition. This would Spur growth in the new year. Among the Good signals in december the unemployment rat fell to 6.9 Pereen last month the lowest level since april 980, while retail sales and housing construction both posted Strong gains. We ended the Quarter on a much stronger basis than we started said David Jones an economist full Aubrey 0. Union & co. A government securities dealer. The numbers have been consistent with an upbeat Economy As we begin the new year. Jones said he believes la Economy is expanding at a rate of Between 3 Percy no fld 3,5 Pyrc Cal and he said this is Likely to be inc growth level for the entire year. While this would be above the 2.8 per Cemil growth rate for a of 1985. It would still be below the administration s expectations for growth of 4 percent this year Jones said part of the reason he is looking for lower growth than the administration is a belief that the country s foreign Trade performance will not begin to show improvement until the summer. By that Lime he said the Dollar will have fallen far enough to begin reducing americans Appe Liles Tor imports White boosting . Export sales. Then Sci will begin to  a pickup in the Long depressed Export industries both farming and manufacturing he said. Some analysts arc More pessimistic fore casting growth this year of less than 3 per cent based on a belief that the decline in the Dollar will not have much of an impart on the country s trading performance until Sale in the year. Beryl Sprinkle the president s chief eco nomic adviser said last week that he believes the recent spate of Good economic figures provides support for die admin Itra Tion s optimistic Outlook. I Don t hint there is any doubt that the Economy is indeed picking up he said predicting that Many private Force Myers will soon begin revising heir projection upward. Temperatures january 11 l h11 u Albany 34 7  74 Anch Orasa is 71 aim of u Allai ulc Civ 35 n bmttwa1 ii Billing 3s 71 Birmingham 21 3s salt37 is Boilon it 33 bunt on u Bun lion 41 s7 charltil4n,. 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