European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - February 17, 1986, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Page 6 the stars and stripes monday february 17,1986 Reagan budget forecast much too Rosy study says Washington a president Reagan s assertion that his budget proposals would Lead to a surplus by fiscal 1991 requires Rosy economic assumptions that history shows arc extremely unlikely according to a report re leased by the joint economic committee of Congress. The record is not encouraging it raises serious doubts about whether under current and proposed poli cies we will achieve a balanced budget by fiscal year 1991," according to the report by committee economist Paul Manchester. The new deficit reduction Law requires a balanced Bud get by fiscal 1991, a target the Reagan administration contends would be met if Congress ratified the proposals contained in the fiscal 1986 budget that the president submitted earlier this month. The administration proposal predicts steady economic growth through the next five years. That Means the eco nomic expansion that began in november 1982 would have to hold at a brisk 4 percent Pace to meet the administration s projection through fiscal 1991. The average peacetime economic expansion since 1946 has been 34 months with the longest 58 months from 1975 to 1980. The Vietnam War expansion from 1961 to 1969 lasted 106 months. Thus the economic recovery already mature by Post War standards will become the longest in . History according to the president s budget. Basing the Federal budget on such an Assumption is not a realistic approach Manchester said. It s kind of like Basing your family budget on the fac that you will win the lottery Manchester said in an . William Proxmire a wis. Vice chairman of the Jarvik-7 recipient gets human heart Pittsburgh a a 39-year-old southwestern Pennsylvania businessman kept alive by a Jarvik-7 artificial heart for nearly two weeks received a human heart during a transplant operation that ended Early sunday. Joseph Burillo of new Alexandria was in critical Condi Tion following the 7a-hour operation said David lash a administrative assistant at presbyterian University Hospi Tal of  surgeons were very optimistic about the surgery and All indications were that everything went Well lash said. A surgical team led by or. Bartley Griffith finished transplanting the heart into Burello at 1 30 . Sunday. Griffith had implanted the patient s Jarvik-7 during a five hour operation that ended feb. 3. Hospital officials declined to release any information regarding the heart donor. Hospital spokesman Tom Chakurda  had been in critical condition since receiving his mechanical  was the fourth person in the country to receive a Jarvik-7 in authorized surgery As a temporary measure while awaiting a transplant. Others have received the de vice As a permanent solution to incurable heart problems while other operations have been performed without authorization from the . Food and drug administration. Burello was placed on the waiting list for a heart trans Plant on feb. 6 after his condition had stabilized. Throughout his time on the Jarvik there had been no complications  Chakurda said late saturday night. He had been Lucid he had been off the  Burello s wife Pat and his two sons had visited him regularly in the Hospital s surgical care unit Chakurda , manager of a medical equipment company in new Alexandria had been suffering since july from a deterioration of the heart muscle due to hardening of the  was admitted to Pittsburgh s Allegheny general Hospital following a massive heart attack in january but his condition worsened As fluid collected in his lungs. Ventricular assist devices or blood pumps were surgically attached to both sides of his heart to keep him alive. Griffith said doctors decided to insert a Jarvik-7 be cause it would sustain Burello effectively and guard better against  was the second time in 3s6 months that presbyterian University surgeons had implanted a Jarvik-7 artificial heart As a Bridge to transplantation. Thomas Gaidosh 47, a factory worker from nearby Sutersville received the mechanical pump during Emer gency surgery oct. 24. The heart of an Ohio Man was transplanted into him four Days later and he was sent Home in mid november to recuperate. Committee called the administration s economic assumptions a feel Good  unlike weather forecasts which Are often wrong in either direction estimates in the Ford Carter and Reagan administrations have with few exceptions been too Rosy the study said. For example in january i960 the Carter administration first forecast a budget surplus of $159 billion for fiscal year 1985. In March 1981 the Reagan administration revised this sharply downward to a 56 billion surplus the report said. The projections of surplus including Reagan s prediction of a balanced budget within four years of taking office evaporated in part because of the 1981-1982 recession. Fiscal 1985 ended at $203 billion in the red a $362 billion difference from the original estimate made by Carter. The report suggests that the administration without being forced to predict a specific recession Lime could incorporate a cyclical swing into its Long term projection to achieve a More reasonable forecast. That approach will be More accurate than those based on the assumptions of steady growth in the Economy and annual decline in unemployment inflation and interest rates the report said. The president s budget while predicting a $1.3 billion surplus for fiscal 1991, acknowledges the budget s sensitivity to the Economy s performance. If the growth estimate were to average 3 percent instead of 4 percent which Ismore in line with the predictions by private economists the fiscal 1991 budget deficit would be about $77 billion according to the budget. Win Power for some people skating in t enough. Diehard wind surfer Marcel de Long 20, of Vole dam Netherlands combines his bobbies on i homemade wind skate Board. Thanks to its Light coming Tefoa it an Onuel As fast As 50 Mph. Stateside de fueling of Tim reactor slowed by algae like organisms Middletown a. A algae like organism Are multiplying in water surrounding the Core of the Dai " " incl 2 reactor at three mile Island slowing Felb organism a g i dam aged unit Mit Slowin Effort to refuel the reactor the Plant s operators have said. The organisms Cloud the water in the reactor vessel and hamper workers who Are removing debris from the Core said Gordon Tomb a spokesman for cup nuclear corp the Plant s operator. We be been noticing them Over the last several week said Tomb. The workers stand on a platform above the water and use Long handled tools to move the debris into canisters which will eventually be shipped to Idaho. University of Arkansas students get measles shots Fayetteville Ark. A inoculation Center have begun to immunize University of Arkansas students against a virulent form of measles thai is thought to have infected 20 people and health officials fear the number will grow. There were 20 suspected cases last week said Eugene Dini director of the Arkansas immunization program of the state s health department. He said he feared More cases. Dini said the symptoms in about half the cases were Standard but he said he could not confirm the presence of red measles without test results. 2 Navy fliers eject from of a rescued after 20 hours in rafts san Diego a two Navy fliers who exec i from their faltering Jet fighter before it crashed into the Ocean were rescued unharmed after spending about 20 hours in life rafts a Navy spokesman said. They Are in Good condition and apparently unhurt Navy spokesman it. John Semcken said following the Rescue. The Pilot and a radar intercept officer were several Hundred Miles away from their Home ship the aircraft Carrier Enterprise when their f-i4 tomcat developed problems somewhere Over the Western Pacific Semyck Masaid. Semcken identified the Pilot As it. Russell Sklenka of Norcross ga., and the radar intercept officer As it cmdr. Thomas Lorenzo of Sarasota Fla. Scripps Howard Gannett co. Extend joint operating pacts Cincinnati a Scripps Howard and the  Nett co. Have announced they Nave amended and extended joint operating agreements for newspapers they own in Knoxville tenn., and Elpaso Texas. The Knoxville news Sentinel owned by Scripps How Ard will convert from evening to morning publication monday through Friday and continue its saturday morn ing and sunday publications. The Knoxville journal owned by Gannett will convert from morning to afternoon publication monday through Friday and will continue publishing a saturday morning edition. The two Pape i also extended their joint  through dec. Al 2005. The conversion of both newspapers is planned for july 1, said Lawrence a. Leser president of Scripps Howard. A. In Elpaso Gannett s times a morning newspaper and Scripps Howard s Herald Post an afternoon paper signed a 30-year agreement that will extend to dec. 31,2015. California school announces protein that May fight cancer Irvine Calif. Up a cancer killing protein whose discovery was kept secret for More than two Yean has been unveiled by the University of California at  scientists say it May be the most effective Mil tumor substance of its kind. Lymphotoxin-3, produced in Trace amounts by the body s White blood cells appears in preliminary tests on mice to be a powerful cancer killing protein said immunologist or. Gale Granger. This is a very exciting molecule and we still have to find out How effective it will be in humans and what the Side effects Are Granger said. F