European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - November 3, 1986, Darmstadt, Hesse Page 4 the stars and stripes monday november 3,1986 gop must win 10 tossup to get statehouse goal Washington a Republican arc almost certain to score gains in gov ernors1 races tuesday but in would take sweep or 10 tossup contests for them to come out of the 1986 elections with their goal a majority of the nation s governorships a Survey by associated press reporters in the 36 sales electing governors ii year found democratic candidates appeared Safe in ii slates and leaning ahead in two five states the Republican was Safe and four More slates were leaning top. The remaining 14 states a surprisingly Large number remain tossup going into election Day. But republicans must win10 of those 14 neck and neck races if they Are to capture a gubernatorial majority for the first time since 1969. Democrat find themselves defending27 of the 34 governorships they now hold. The gop with 16 governors de fends Only nine. The races thai could go either Way on tuesday arc largely in Stales now held by democrats Florida. South Carolina Texas Nebraska Kansas Hawaii Arizona. Alaska Wyoming Alabama and wis Consin. Three of the too-c1ose-to-e�ll races rein states now held by the gop Oregon Tennessee and Pennsylvania. Most of the endangered democratic governorships Are being vacated by pop ular incumbents. But two democratic incumbents Are trying to withstand fierce gop opposition in Texas where gov. Mark White slightly trails he Man he Defeated four years ago former Clements and Wisconsin where gov. Anthony Earl has been pressed by Republican legislative Leader Tommy democrats most prominent governor possible presidential candidate Mario Cuomo of new York has an easy race for his second term. Also expected to win Are democratic incumbent in Michigan Minnesota Nevada Massachusetts Georgia Arkansas Connecticu tand Ohio. Also regarded As Safe Are democratic candidate in Idaho an Maryland. In Vermont democratic gov. Made Leine Kunin is leading but could fall Short of the 50 percent she needs to keep the three Way race from being decided by the legislature. Colorado a state Hegop had hoped to gain also leans dem nov George Deukmejian appear Likely to win a second Ter against los Angeles mayor Tom Bradley one of two candidates seeking to become the first Black elected governor. The other Black is Long shot gop nominee William Lucas in Michigan. Republicans also appeared Safe Mnew Hampshire Rhode Island South Dakota and new states leaning Republican Uli Nois gov. James Thompson was leading Over Adlai Stevenson a Democrat run Ning under a third party Banner. Republicans also were leading in Maine okla homa and Iowa where gov. Terr Branstad has distanced himself from Reagan farm policies in the face of Strong democratic Challenge. Here is a look at the states that appear the closest Alabama a confusing bitter internal democratic Brawl has Given re publican Guy Hunt a 3-to-l loser eight years ago a Chance to become the Iii gop governor since reconstruction. At Torney general Charles Graddick won the democratic nomination but was bumped off the ticket in a court fight in favor of i. Gov. Bill Baxley Graddic called off a write in Campaign last week but voter animosity toward the democrats is High and Hunt has led in one recent Republican stale sen. A Liis Sturgulewski one of nine women on gubernatorial ballots ii facing Democrat Steve Cowper who Defeated incumbent gov. Bill Sheffield in the primary. Sturgulewski s chances have been Hurt by a last minute write in Campaign by Pri Mary loser Walter Hickel former governor Likely to Lake gop this is a three Way race among Democrat Carolyn Warner far right Republican Evan Mecham upset primary win Ner Over the gop establishment Candi Date and Bill Schulz an Lime democratic candidate who pulled Cut then got on the ballot As a Independent after Warner s nomination. New polls show the candidates running former Tampa mayor Bob Martinez a recent convert to Hegop is facing Lay league educated Democrat Steve Pajrick in a hard fought Democrat la gov. John Waihee faces Republican former legis Lator do. "andy1 Anderson. Kansas Democrat la r. Docking and Mike Hayden the gop House speaker Are in a tight this close race Fea Tures two women Republican state trea surer Kay Orr and Democrat Helen boo Salis former mayor of Democrat Neil Gold Schmidl former transportation Secretary in the Carter administration and port land mayor is facing former Secretary of stale Norma Paulos in this top held Republican it. Gov William w. Scranton ill s age 39,and his acknowledgement that he once used recreational drugs were Issue in his race. Although polls showed Scranton with a Large Lead Early on it evaporate Das the Campaign of Democrat Robert p. Casey a former aur Titor general picked up Spirrh Carolina rep. Carroll Campbell a Bright Star of the South gop is waging a hard Battle to wrest control of the so Alehouse from the demo crat who Hope to elect la. Gov. Mike Tennessee former Republican gov. Winfiel Dunn and Democrat Ned Ray Mcwherter speaker of the Tennes see House Are running neck and neck. Texas while faces a stiff Chal Lenge from cements who lost the Gover Norship to White in 1982. Texas econ omy dragging because of the drop in world Oil prices is the major Issue and cements Lead has shrunk Wisconsin Earl seeking re elec Tion to a second term faces a Tough Chal Lenge from Thompson who claims the stale has lost business and attracted peo ple on with democratic gov. De Herscher retiring. Republican Peter k. Simpson son of a former Gover nor add brother of in. Alan Simpson hoped to take the seat for the gop. But a bruising primary which Simpson won by453 votes splintered the gop boosting the chances of Democrat Michael Sutlin poll shows nearly even split to newspapers share election information role new York a when it col ,0 learning can Irger a by Fiffi Saar was #�%3&ssgsttss�?-" &3sssr it newspapers. In either Case most say they get enough information to make informed choices according to a Media general associated press poll. Forty two percent of the 1,464 adult americans inthe nationwide Telephone poll said newspapers were their prime source of information about percent said they Learned about candidates primarily from television news programs. The my got Mosi of their news from a variety of sources magazines radio political advertisements and friends. Overall about two thirds of the respondents said they got enough information to make informed choices while about one third believed they were not get Ling enough information. Many of those who did not get enough information said they wanted More unbiased background information Ana they Aba thought More in depth coverage More debates and personal appearances by candidates would be useful respondents were asked. Where do you get most of our information about political candidates and the answers provide a portrait of How diverse groups of americans get their political news. Younger people preferred to More frequently loan older people 43 percent of 18 to 34-year-Olds used Ilas their primary source of information compared with 36 percent of 35 to 54-Yeflr-Olds, 37 percent of 55 to64-year-Olds, and 40 percent of those Over 65. College graduates preferred newspapers More frequently than those who were less educated 55 percent of College graduates got most of Hiir information from Tut did not graduate _. High school graduates and 28 percent of dropouts. School lion i Zuj percent to 26 percent margin. Among restarted voters 44 percent said newspapers were their primary source of political my while 38 percent preferred television. Among those who Sereno registered 29 percent said newspaper were their main our Cerf Newi and 46 percent said television. Those who were not registered to vote also were More Likely thin registered voters to complain they did not act adequate information to make informed voting choices forty Ove percent of men and 39 Pereen of women said they got most of their in Wor Mabon from newspapers. Television was preferred by 37 percent Olive men and 41 percent of the women. Northe Sternen were More Likely than other Ameri cans to get most of their information from newspaper while southerners were More Likely than others to Geti heir news from television. Respondents in the Media general associated press poll included a random scientific sampling of 1,464 adults across the country sept. 8-17. As with All Sample surveys the results of Media general a Telephone polls can vary from the opinions of All americans be cause of Chance variation in the Sample. For a poll based on about 1,400 interviews the re sults Are subject to an error margin of 3 percentage Points either Way because of Chance variations in the Sample. That is if one could have qum lined All Aner icons Wilh telephones there is Only 1 Chance in 20 in findings would vary from the results of polls such As this one by More than 3 percentage Points. Of course the results could differ from other poll for several reasons. Differences in exact wording of questions in the timing of interviews and in the inter View methods could also cause variations. Media general inc., a communications company based in Richmond va., publishes the Richmond Tim
