European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - October 14, 1988, Darmstadt, Hesse                                State by state poll predicts Bush rout in presidential race Friday october 14, 198b the stars and stripes Page 5 new York a a Stalc by slate poll of nearly 10.000 Likely voters Rales George Bush solidly ahead in the race for the presidency. Although polls of inc nation As a whole indicate a close race Between Bush and Michael Dukakis the Abc news Washington Post Survey of the standings in each state where the election Actu ally is decided put hush firmly ahead Abc reported that Bush leads solidly in 21 states with a  of 220 electoral Voles Jusi 50 Short of the total needed to win. Dukakis is firmly ahead in three states and Washington. D.c., for 30 elec toral Voies. Wilh the election a lire weeks off voter Selim cols can change. But the Abc Post poll the Only Public Survey of its size this year is inc first recent poll to indicate a significant advantage for i ther candidate. The poll was conducted from sept. It through monday among 9,778 Likely Vot ers. Its margins of error varied with its differing Sample Sie in each slate Abc withheld them. Abc and the Post also conducted a Standard National Survey thai put the race at is percent for a Iii to 45 percent to Dukakis. A lbs news new York times poll a Cunt iday had nearly the same result 50-45. Such National polls measure popular sentiment across the nation As a whole. But in the Eledine each slate gives its electoral votes to the Winner in that slate so the state by state standings Are More relevant to the outcome. Such polls Are rarely done because they require a far larger Sample than surveying the nation As a whole. The network did not report  results in each stale or give the size of the Sample in each state. Some or All of the states must have had Small Sample sizes because even 9,778 interviews averages to Only about 192 in each state and inc District of Columbia. Sampling error would be High for a poll of 192 people about 10 Points and Abc did not release its Survey s error margin for each state. Pollsters for the network said they had Large enough samples to characterize Strong or weak leads state by state. The states that Abc put firmly in Bush s column included Texas new Jer sey and Ohio. States leaning toward Bush included new York where most other recent polls have shown a slight Dukakis Lead and California where re cent polls have found a tie. The lbs times poll meanwhile found increasing doubt about the qualifications of the Republican vice presiden tial nominee sen Dan Quayle to serve As president and it indicated the concern was keeping the race a close one in terms of the popular contest nationally. Ily a 2-1 margin probable voters in the lbs times poll doubled Quayle qualifications for the presidency his worst rating in that Survey. He was seen As qualified by Only 30 percent while twice As Many 63 percent said they would worry about him serving As presi Dent. Quayle s presence appeared to help Dukakis asked if they could vote Only for president without considering the running mate support for Dukakis dipped from 45 percent to 41 percent. Bush s support remained at 50 percent. Another poll wednesday by Louis Harris and associates put the popular contest at 30-48. Vice president Bush lakes a morning jog in los Angeles with a couple of supporters. Bentsen says republicans Don t support Economy Columbia to. A democratic vice presidential candidate Lloyd Beni sen said wednesday the republicans refuse to stand up for the american Economy and arc avoiding issues important to keep ing he nation competitive. Bentsen stalking votes in Missouri and Arkansas. Also aimed new barbs at Dan Quayle and accused George Bush of trying character assassination against Michael Dukakis. The Texas senator said the democrats had no argument with Quayle s assertion that other nations envy the United states. America is still the envy of the world bunt san told a crowd of More than 2,500 outside the Columbia courthouse Many waving Liny flags but not because of people like Dan Quayle and George Bush who re fuse to stand up for the american  you Don t stay no. I by coasting he said responding to Bush s assertion that the democrats were try ing to scare people about foreign ownership of . Industries. Bentsen. Chairman of the Senate finance committee pushed through a Trade Bill earlier this year. America needs leaders who will stand up for the working people of America he said later at a rally at the University of Arkansas at fact Tevilla. He told the student audience that the republicans consider higher education a privilege of wealth while Dukakis has proposed a program so All qualified Stu dents could at ind College. A Strong contingent of pro Bush students in the crowd of about 3,000 heckled bunt san As he spoke. They shouted Bush in "88" and when bin Lson at tacked the republicans Tell the truth Lloyd Belsen told the crowd it was a sign of How United the democrats arc that he was saying Nice things about Razorbacks just before the Texas Arkansas fool Ball game. The University of Texas alumnus received an Arkansas football Jersey that had his name Over the number "88," today i read in the newspaper that Dan Quayle says he s going to be his own Campaign manager. His own or. Spin control he said at the Columbia podium. That May be his Pilch but i la bet it s thrown George Bush a real curve  Sands or time in the stars and stripes 40 years ago today. Oct. 14, 1948 soviet officials in Berlin announced that the City s last major relic of Adolf Hitler the gutted ruin of his massive Reich chancellery was going to be Lorn Down. 30 years ago today. Oct. I a 1958 the . Moon rocket Pioneer resumed to the Earth s Atmos phere and probable disintegration after flying 80,000 Miles into space about a third of the Way to the Moon. 20 years ago today. Oct. 14, 1968 Anglo Rhad asian peace talks collapsed because rhodesian prime minister Harold Smith insisted that control of the country not be transferred to the Black majority. To years ago today. Oct. 14,1978 mid month pay checks for an estimated 1.5 million members of inc military were mailed out at the last minute after Congress approved a is 17.3 billion defense appropriation Bill. Irritated Quayle i m going to say what s on my mind rapid City . A Republican vice presidential candidate Dan Quayle saying he had reached a snap Ping Point Over control of his Campaign by Bush aides declared wednesday that from now on i am my own  i m going to have fun and i m going to say what s on my mind Quayle told re porters As he left Indianapolis in route to South Dakota for a fund Raiser and speech. The Indiana senator said he was not mad at anybody in the Bush  however he had previously expressed irritation at published reports quoting unidentified aides to gop presidential nominee George Bush As calling him a liability for the ticket. Over inc weekend he complained to Bush Campaign chair Man James a. Baker 111, Quayle also has chafed at the rigid for Mal dictated by the handlers from inc Bush Campaign limiting his Access to the press scripting prepared texts for hint to read and even determining when he would wave As he got off his Campaign plane. He told reporters that s All been thrown  aides said the decision to publicly As Sert control of More aspects of his Campaign was Quayle s alone and was not another new script handed Down from Bush officials. But Quayle s aides Many of them Baker intimates were openly do lighted that inc Story was dominating Quayle s Campaign Day