European Stars and Stripes (Newspaper) - January 19, 1990, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Pages the stars and stripes Friday january 19,1990study plots defense strategy if Philippines bases were lost by Laurie Scott Pacific stirs and stripes Washington a this Joss of Clark a and the naval base at Subic Bay in no Philippines would have severe repercussions on  in the Pacific according to an Independent stif but the bases Are not  and a number of alternatives could be pursued by to Ifni cd states if its forces had to give up the Philip Pink said the study by the National defense research stiff the philippine Constitution requires pm the military bases agreement Between both satiate end in 1991 and that any future . Military resell in that country be governed by a treaty. The study which began in 1986, examines up of the stakes involved in the negotiations and asses value of Clark and Subic Bay to both countries. National defense research Institute is a non i conservative think tank that deals almost excl with defense policy issues. The importance of Clark and Subic Bay mkt examined from the Point of View of How they Wraa be used in five scenarios a peacetime a Vietnam Ike invasion of Thailand a soviet invasion of Iran a Forth korean invasion of South Korea and a go nth in War with the soviet Union. The scenarios helped Ideal if capabilities that would be required Ana indicate geographical considerations that would be involve Jan developing alternatives to the Philippines a a wide Range of  was examined. The study assumed thayre United states would have Access to the  involved including China. The report though released just last month was based on information gathered before the quelling of the do Morali amp writing in China. One option a which the study called the a unconstrained acc egr package would be the least expensive for maintaining facilities in Southeast Asia. Air Fott units would be based at Kuala Bumpur on the Maljanian Peninsula and Navy units would be located primarily at the malaysian port of Labuan and supported by facilities in Pakistan and China. The worst Case option would involve Access to . Territory Only. Air Force units would be based on Guam and Navy units would be split Between Guam and newly built facilities on the Island of Tinian. 8as Suun hurts Tiff Cross for that option would be High since it would of Kolve sending All air Crews Back to the United states Fol training and would require repairing ships with High Kayc labor in Guam and Tinian. Increased  shuttle ships would add to that Cost. The Studym concluded that a the unit states could improve its negotiating position by Reid rating its policy of departing military installations if attested by the Manila government. Misperception Onk his Issue by some filipinos have aggravated  sovereignty the study said. A the United Static May find it expedient to leave the Philippines if the Price asked for continued Access to the bases there is too migh. Military capabilities can be replaced for less than some of the current demands even if Access to space in of or countries proves to be a problem the study said. A the economic benefits fat my hosting the bases Are substantial for the philippine government. Foreign Aid is Only one component and not the largest Benefit. In economic terms the Philippines has much More to lose in the negotiations than the United states if the bases done to stay the study said. Itury of in. And newly 1 / Philippines coup attempt expected to stall negotiations on . Bases by Laurie is Pacific stars and Washington a the .- got nations. Which some lawmakers. Take place at the end of 1989. Could delayed because of december a coup the government of president Corazon department officials said. But a House armed services committee staffer said the coup could help ensure that a . Military presence remains in the Philippines at Clark a and the sprawling naval base at Subic Bay. Y Quot after the United states responded to Aquino s re a Ines base no in cd would if cantly against a state us to slay a he said. A and As far As the United states. Aid in Exchange for base rights goes the willing to pay us to req Len in the Philippines  rep. Pat  a cd olo. Who chairs the House armed services military installations subcommittee said the  has Given the Philippines a too Good of a Deaigh the past.  she said cannot be an Issue. A Cash cow they can fog pct i. We can go elsewhere. They have More to lose Jian we  a. The current military bases agreement expires in id september 1991, but the House armed services Mittie Slafter said there is uncertainly about the United states must be out of the bases at that thu or if a one year notice period begins when the Agron ism runs out. Is probably being discussed by the Aquino  now a he said. A no firm Date was Ever set for a Aquino to a Proa got nations to begin. It s really up to a and set a  world today Pope holds Short audience As he recovers for amp a flu Vatican City apr pc John Paul ii bounced Back from a bout Ifju and held his general audience wednesday. However he admitted he effects of the illness that has people in Italy. After being Down with Xcvi activities monday and tues Pope appeared As scheduled thorium for the weekly Audi i but he Cut it Back by from picking up and Cmaj usually docs. A a the italian press has has the chinese flu a Thi grims and tourists include soviet Union. A this explains the Bre salutes. I must behave As j Pletchy  the flu struck Italy mainly in Northern Regii the Peninsula. Residents of Atlantic Island tackle mysterious Oil Slick still feeling the Ruck millions of and cancelling his a the 69-Ycar-old the Paul i Audi a. Minutes and kept ing children As he Itten that the Pope it be told 4,000 Pil about 300 from the y of the speeches and person still not com december starting and moving Down to Beira islands apr lactic Island of Porto auck cts to Battle a 12-  beaches and Are Reserve. Mick was still undo tar i Guise Island on tucs Ivym mint sent an air ring an anti pollution barriers pumps and it the Slick. Of Oil have washed up famous six mile White last while More crude cast coasts with thick Vila Valeira residents on the tiny Santo used shovels any mile Long Oil Slick that threatened a valuable in the origin of the Oil mined. Help reached the to Day when the Lisbon Force transport plane cd team armed with Floatie other equipment to Cost since monday Patch on the vacation Island s Sand Beach on the South coated the Rocky North air slime. Swiss Public opposes plan to buy Fa-18s from . Zurich. Switzerland up a a Telephone poll by the popular daily newspaper Blick showed wednesday that most Swiss oppose a government plan to buy 34 Fa-18 fighter aircraft from the United Stales for More than 12 billion. The newspaper had asked readers to Call in with their opinions and there were 11,742 callers in one Day. A resounding 72 percent opposed the Purchase with just 28 percent in favor Blick reported. Parliament plans to debate the proposal but there is a growing movement toward either reducing the number of aircraft or switching from the sophisticated Fa-18 to the cheaper f-16 fighter. Rushdie assassination cowrie called a disgraceful London apr a Promp or of a executive War games said tuesday he is having second thoughts Amqui a contest whose objective is the Quck assassination of novelist Salman a Rushdie. A perhaps with hip sight it was an unfortunate idea Quot Laid Ian Lawson director of skirmish a country Lodge where executives work off stress by fighting mock Battles. Bob Gregory a spokesman for Rushdie s publisher Viking Penguin denounced the game As a disgraceful and in bad taste. Here s a human being in hiding for fear of his life and they re making a game out of it. It s beyond  Rushdie has been in hiding for 11 months following the late Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini s Appeal to moslem to kill him for writing a the satanic verses Quot a novel some moslem find blasphemous. Lawson contacted by Telephone at the Lodge near Guisborough in Northern England said the game entailed one team chem amp a Man in a Luminous dinner jacket who., carries a shield called a the Book a whup the opposing team defends him. To the play Cra amp by to a shoot Quot him with paint guns White Fae tries to escape to a Safe spot called amp a publishers Quot and then to another Plant called a the Safe House Quot Lawson said. He said he had not Rig and to offend anyone and was trying to Contact Viking Penguin to apologize. He sad that in View of the criticism after the Story sur faced in the local press he might drop the Rushdie Angle from the game. A those who come to play arc not coming to shoot Salman Rushdie. They come to have a fun Day out and enjoy a variety of games including ibis one Lawson said. Lawson said another game being developed for the Lodge is a the Noriega game Quot in which one team defends a player representing the ousted panamanian dictator while the other Side tries to Kidnap him