European Stars and Stripes (Newspaper) - December 28, 1990, Darmstadt, Hesse Effectiveness rating of 1.0. When the m1 was fielded in 1980. It was rated at 1.24 the my at with a 155mm gun instead of a 105mm gun was rated 1.34. Similar effectiveness ratings were a determined for other weapons categories from artillery to Small arms. A Rifle is valued at f .0, a machine gun at 1.77, for example a 155mm howitzer at 1.02 and a Mirs a rocket system at 1.16. The other categories include anti no weapons mortars armoured reconnaissance vehicles armoured personnel carriers infantry fighting vehicles air defense weapons and attack the combat value or relative weight of a the weapon categories was decided by a team of experienced Battlefield. Commanders. Most valuable they decided Are attack helicopters with an average a value of 109. Next Are artillery 99then tanks 94scaling Down to Small arms 4when the number of weapons in a . Armoured division is multiplied by those a a effectiveness ratings and a value the resulting total a about 130,000 a becomes the armoured division equivalent. All other units can be measured against that Standard. A . Infantry division for example is Given an Ade of 0.5, or half an armoured division. Epstein and his associate Alf Hutter calculate that All .-led forces in saudi a Arabia will be valued at 17,6 Ades by february when the latest buildup is completed. Iraqi forces in Kuwait will be valued at 7.4 Ades and those in Northern Kuwait and Southern Iraq at 9.6 Ades according to their calculations. That appears to place opposing forces roughly in balance but in fact the iraqi forces Are widely dispersed in defense offering a Challenge of Only 2.3 Ades for . Forces in the Quot main attack sector Quot Epstein s Bottom line based in his modelling is an 18-Day War. The first six a a Days would be used for air strikes to. Establish control and soften up iraqi ground forces. In the next six Days the ground attack breakthrough and movement northward would take place. The final six Days would be used to mop up casualties would be about 15,000 with 25 percent a dead he said although they could be As High As 22,000 or As Low As 3,600. During a Tyve fire exercise in the desert marines fire a humvee mounted Tow anti tank missile. Of Posen said that such models understate the ., advantage because they do not reflect the better training , command and control and other qualitative edges. A a. A / Quot we will have total control of the air Quot he said Quot and we know from Rommel nazi. 1. Gen. Erwin Rommel the desert Fox of a world War ii what its like to operate in the desert when the enemy has Complete control of the air like a Savage against modern european troops Quot. . Forces will be Able to concentrate at their intended attack Point to reach a jump off advantage of As much As 5-1, Posen said because iraqi artillery. A the usual we Apon to p re vent sue h c on c e n ratio n s. Behind enemy lines a a will be largely wiped out. A a. Quot we Are very Good at Counte Battery. A a fire Quot he said pointing to special radar to locate any iraqi artillery batteries that could then be assaulted with massive rapid fire artillery weapons and the multiple launch rocket systems one Mars Volley of 12 rockets is supposed to have the same effect As 72 rounds of i 55mm howitzers. Quot in just artillery alone figured we could deliver 500 tons of Metal artillery shells on his positions in Only one hour Quot Posen said Quot we astonished ourselves with that figure. Quot so his numbers should not be a problem Quot he concluded. Quot with our mass and our technology if should be a. Pushover Quot. A. A so say the Model builders. But sceptics remain unpersuaded. A. Quot a Quot models and modern analysis can do. Lots of things Quot one experienced former. A. Officer said. Quot but they Aro nol Good at a. A prediction at telling you How fasl you la A move How Long the War will Lake How Many men you la lose Quot. V vet this Lormer officer has come to. Essen Litfiy the same conclusion the ground War should take one to two weeks a a Watha Manyas , 25 a. Percent of them killed. Operation bar Shlim edition of Calls up additional Gulf forces i to it air a a buium hmm aril my bursts 1 3 a a Lam i in Feu rink -.= m Sun sri strip Tho Actu to try a hot a Mph Imobel Rifle int pm we win. A Pori by Hurt Mariur i it the s ipes h Ari a Rifle 4 a my m4wikt a. 1 no Afri to i it it in ii. A it Iri a vib Raukk if ii i4eie<fea�h in via a a w Artri ten lire. The Kri a a a pm 11 i Uri or i�ri4 a a hmm of Fly a it a a air k a is a Allied Force facing formidable foe. I Kaui Erri fuds t>�4 a atari Fri a it a a in m Ltd a a a i i no ukr pm Kritin us. Inf k k a a v a a a wire a Eer. I a in wot hot a we i it b Chw a my Kny a a with a u a Ltd a her it to Tupi rank it of iwo Tarwi Uku fat. 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