European Stars and Stripes (Newspaper) - December 10, 1992, Darmstadt, Hesse                                Thursday december 10. 1992 . The stars and stripes Page 7 quake peril downscale californians told Outlook not As grim As thought san Francisco a a computer study that simulated 10,000 years of earthquakes on the san Andreas fault concluded that the government has overstated the likelihood of seismic disaster in California. The study says there a a 19 percent Chance of a quake that registers a magnitude of 7.5 or larger along the fault in Southern California in the next 30 years said geophysicist Steven Ward. A Well publicized 1988 report by the . Geological Survey said the Odds of such a quake were at least 60 percent. That forecast was made and endorsed by panels representing a consensus of  the stars and stripes 10years ago dec. 10,1982 the nato allies reaffirmed their intention to deploy . Nuclear missiles in Europe during 1983 unless there is Quot a Concrete agreement Quot on arms control with the soviet Union. 20years ago dec. 10,1972 at least 45 people were killed and 16 injured when a United airlines jetliner crashed into a neighbourhood near Chicago a Midway Airport reports said.30 year Sago dec. 10,1962 a India accused the chinese of making an Quot unveiled threat that India must negotiate a settlement to its undeclared War based on a terms dictated by  40years ago dec. 10,1952 a West Germany headed for a major crisis revolving around whether the country a highest court could Rule on the constitutionality of the Allied German peace contract and German rearmament. 50years ago dec. 10,1942 a forty three graduates of the first officer candidate school Ever established outside the United states were commissioned As second lieutenants in the . Army in a ceremony at a base in Britain. World War ii 50 years ago today dec. 10 1 a 9 a 4 2 German tanks and infantry strike at Allied forces around Medvez Al Bab in Tunisia from the Northeast and East but Are driven Back by four free French battalions and Britain s 1st guards brigade. Britain s 11th brigade and attached . Units Are moved Back to bed a to regroup the inexperienced americans abandon much of their equipment. Source 2194 Days of War. W h Smith publishers inc. World almanac Book of world War ii. B son books corp .1981 a a Federal report in the Early 1980s said such a quake could kill up to 14,000 people if it measured 8.3 a the estimated Power of the 1906 san Francisco quake a and occurred on the part of the fault closest to los Angeles. That death estimate is now considered High. Ward of the University of California Santa Cruz conducted the computer study with Saskia goes a dutch graduate student. Goes presented the findings tuesday during the american geophysical unions fall meeting. Richard Andrews californians emergency services director said the Public a should not be distracted by these debates within the scientific  Quot i Hope this Guy Ward is right but there a no reason to believe he a More right than the other scientists Are a Andrews said. A with the degree of uncertainty we have the prudent course is to be  Ward said the 1988 report assumed that each segment of the san Andreas fault builds up stress until it snaps in a big quake and that such quakes recur at fairly regular intervals. His theory is that each segment transfers stress to neighbouring segments during quakes. The simulation suggested big quakes happen almost randomly rendering the government forecasts unreliable. Computer Wiz charged with stealing secrets san Francisco a a computer Hacker has been charged with stealing air Force secrets that allegedly included a list of planned targets in a hypothetical War. Former Silicon Valley computer Wiz Kevin Poulsen was named in a 14-count indictment issued monday. He and an alleged accomplice already face lesser charges of unlawful use of Telephone Access devices illegal wiretapping and conspiracy. Poulsen 27, of los Angeles faces vhf to 10 years in prison if convicted of the new charge of gathering defense information double the sentence he faced previously. His attorney Paul Meltzer said that the information was not militarily sensitive and that it was reclassified by government officials so they could prosecute Poulsen on a greater  ruled prisoner of War Miami apr a judge tuesday declared Manuel Noriega to be a prisoner of War and said the ousted panamanian Leader May be sent to a civilian prison Only if he receives full Protection under the Geneva convention. . District judge William Hoeveler ordered Noriega held in Florida until the government chooses a prison and defense attorneys can demand a hearing to ensure his rights As a pow Are protected. Paul Rothstein a constitutional Law professor at Georgetown. University Law school said the decision was a the first time someone convicted in the Ordinary process of the criminal Law has had the Geneva convention applied to  but he said most . Civilian prisons should be Able to meet the standards with Only minimal adjustments. The judge warned the Federal government to a keep in mind the importance to our own troops of faithful and indeed Liberal adherence to the mandates of Geneva  Noriega is being held in a special cell at the metropolitan correctional Center outside Miami. Federal prosecutor Michael Sullivan acknowledged the government was Likely to Send Noriega to the Tough maximum Security Federal prison in Marion 111., or an even More secure facility under construction in Colorado. Based on the judges decision the defense filed a motion to prevent Noriega a immediate Transfer. Noriega was convicted in april of eight drug and racketeering counts. Hoeveler sentenced him to 40 years in prison. A judge is scheduled to Rule feb. 1 on Meltzer a motion to dismiss the charge. In the Early 1980s, Poulsen and another Hacker going by the Moniker dark Dante were accused of breaking into the University of California los Angeles computer network in one of the first prosecutions of computer hacking. He escaped prosecution because he was then a juvenile and went to work at Sun Micro systems in Mountain View. While working for Sun Poulsen illegally obtained a computer tape containing a 1987 order concerning a military exercise code named Caber dragon 88, the government said in court papers. The order is classified secret and contains names of military targets. In 1989, Poulsen and two other men were charged with stealing Telephone Access codes from a Pacific Bell office and accessing Pacific Bell  urged to of Kkt Cross Cincinnati up the Kun flux klan apparently will be allowed to put a 10-foot Cross downtown during the Holiday season. Cincinnati solicitor Fay Dupuis recommended monday that the Kkt be allowed to place the Cross on Fountain Square Between dec. 20 and 30. The Hamilton chapter of Tho klan sought a permit nov. 25, a few months after . District judge Carl Rubion ruled that requiring some permit holders to take Down displays Between 10 . And 6 . Was a violation of free speech. Rabbi shalom Kalmanson had challenged the City prohibition saying it was designed to Stop displays of a menorah during hanukkah and the Kkt Cross. Dupuis wrote to Public works director George Rowe a under the current status of the court ruling you must Issue a permit to the Kkt. As Long As space is available on Fountain Square and the Public health safety and welfare issues can be  Rowe said he expects to approve the permit but first would meet with City safety officials to determine whether problems can be expected. Safety director William Gustav son said he was confident police will devise an adequate safety plan. City councilman Tyrone Yates said he would push for an injunction if a permit were issued. A there ought to be a Public rationale for excluding the Kkt from a Central Public space like Fountain Square he said. Presidential pitch president Bush tosses away a pen As Lawrence s. Eagleburger takes the oath of office As Secretary of state tuesday in the Oval office. Supreme court Justice Antonin Scalia administers the oath As Eagleburger a wife Marlene holds the Bible. Eagleburger had been acting Secretary of state since August. The recess appointment a temporary one made while Congress is adjourned will allow Eagleburger to serve with full Cabinet rank for the final six weeks of Bush a presidency