European Stars And Stripes (Newspaper) - July 26, 1988, Darmstadt, Hesse Page 10 columns the stars and stripes . Apple or. Jock son s demands unprecedented for a loser the kind of partnership and shared responsibility Jesse Jackson is seeking for himself and his followers in this fall s Campaign exceeds what any loser in a presidential nominating race has Ever sought or been granted. Although Jackson has Given no list of demands his negotiators and other aides made it Clear that he expects to be represented at every level of gov. Michael s. Dukakis Effort this fall. That would seem to include leadership roles for Jackson supporters in City county state regional and National Campaign organizations and possibly designation As chief surrogate or Asco chairman of the democratic nation Al committee for the Chicago Clergyman himself. In past campaigns presidential Nomi nees have usually made a few gestures toward their Defeated rivals sometimes taking on Board a few of the rivals Abler operatives and let things go at that. The wholesale blending of organizations is thus a very new idea. In 1960, John f. Kennedy ran both his pre convention and Post convention campaigns and later the White House Camp is so full of self importance that it role in the fall Campaign regardless of. _ x. a j 1.1. I re i inn Ctina wort Phi inf cell i flt in in with an essentially unchanged Core of intimates Many of them new England ers. In 1968, Richard Nixon brought few of Nelson Rockefeller s political hands into his Post convention Effort though he did make a place for Rocke Feller s main foreign policy adviser Henry a. Kissinger. In 1980, Ronald Reagan made Politi Cal history by asking James a. Baker 3rd, the Campaign manager of the mane had just beaten George Bush to head his general election organization. But in the same year Jimmy Carter stuck with his own people and his erstwhile democratic rival sen. Edward m. Kennedy never fully supported him. In an interview last week Carter spoke of the difficulty of bringing in new advisers who were formerly opponents and conceded that his failure to do so had Hurt his re election Effort. There Are at least two reasons for this pattern sometimes the rival groups have gotten so angry at each other that they cannot bring themselves to Trust each other and sometimes the winning thinks it needs no outside help. As Jackson said on a recent lbs face the nation there is no defined place yet for his backers whom he Calls the progressive Wing of the party in the next phase of the democratic Campaign. But even As negotiations be tween the two groups proceeded there were numerous signs that Dukakis was prepared to go beyond what other re publican and democratic Standard bearers have been willing to do. For example Charles Baker the governor s Field director for the general election said he Vas spending the week of the convention going through the Jackson organization tables state by state and county by county looking for recruits for this fall. Asked if he planned to hire some of Jackson s state directors he replied of Ann f. Lewis an adviser to Jackson who has a reputation As a shrewd an that it is no longer possible for any Nom Inee to operate As John Kennedy did. Democratic activists now demand a whom they supported she said and in the absence of any real party Structure of the kind we had in 1960, the nominee needs their skills and if they Are frustrated they can penalize the ticket by withholding the organizational work that it needs in order to is even More True in the Case of Jackson s Black followers whom Ron Brown Jackson s convention manager called the the most important democrats the very base of the party and whom Lewis characterized As the most cohesive the most reliable and most under represented in party decision making of any demographic group. The fact is that Jesse Jackson Ismore than just another contender who came in second said gov. James Blan Chard of Michigan where Jackson won the does represent a special constituency and i think they have been the most Loyal voters that our party has had. So i think there needs to be More of coming together of the two campaigns than we might normally have in any other electoral new York times news service Jack w. Germond and Jules Witcover republicans have Little Chance of retaking Senate the morning after the 1980 election republicans were surprised and delighted to discover that with no Little help from presidential candidate Ronald Reagan they had captured control of the Senate. Understand ably they began to Harbor extravagant ideas of dominating the Senate for the next several generations. But now after eight years of the reality rather than simply the Prospect of the Reagan presidency the republicans enter the 1988 Campaign not Only having lost the Senate but As decided underdogs in their attempt to reclaim it. The situation drives Home a critical Point about the Reagan Era in american politics. For All his successes and All his remarkable personal popularity the president has done Little or nothing to strengthen the Republican party either in Congress or at the state and local Levels. Reagan s inability to influence the party alignment except when he was on the ballot winning huge mar gins himself was most strikingly apparent in 1986. I that election the democrats recaptured the Senate by defeating several of those republicans of the class of 1980 in the face of personal appeals from Reagan that he needed them for the rest of his second term. Thus it is hardly surprising that the Republican prospects Are less than glittering in a year in which they will be running with vice president George Bush rather than Reagan. It is fair to say in fact that the republicans would need either a disastrous Campaign by democratic presidential nominee Michael s. Duka Kis or the coincidence of a whole series of Freak circumstances to regain the Senate nov. 8. The democrats now control the Senate 54-46, which Means the republicans need to gain four seats if Bush Anda Republican vice president Are elected five if the democrats prevail. Looking at the numbers this would seem beyond their reach because 19 of the seats at stake this year Are held by democrats Only 14 by republicans. But nine of the democrats seeking re election Are according to estimates of political professionals of both Par ties Rock solid bets to win Dennis Deconcini of Arizona spark Matsunaga of Hawaii George Mitchell of Maine Paul Sarbanes of Maryland Edward m. Kenned of Massachusetts Donald Riegle of Michigan Daniel p. Moynihan of new York Jim Sasser of Tennessee an Robert Byrd of West Virginia. A 10th senator originally on that list is Lloyd Bentsen of Texas now the democratic vice presidential candidate. Another Democrat former gov. Charles Robb is rated As what horse players Call a mortal lock to win the Virginia seat being vacated by Republican Paul Trible. The extraordinary length of this list is on obvious indicator of How Little Progress the republicans have made in Many major states during the Rea Gan Ascendancy. More to the Point in terms of Thi Campaign it Means that the democrats need to win we tank Ron would have w Leas Tel Given me Only five of the remaining 22 seats at stake to retain control. And there Are at least five democratic incumbents John Melcher of Montana Frank Lautenberg of new Jersey Jeff Bingaman of new Mexico Quentin Burdick of North Dakota and Howard Metzenbaum of Ohio who Are considered at least nominal although by no Means Invulnerable favourites for re election. Beyond that the democrats Are now favored to Cap Ture three Republican seats. In Nevada Republican incumbent Chic Hecht has narrowed the Gap against gov. Richard Bryan but is still the underdog. In Nebraska former gov. Bob Kerrey is leading the appointed Republican incumbent David Karnes. In washing ton either one of two democrats reps. Mike Lowry or Don Bonker is a slight favorite Over former sen. Slade Gorton for the Republican seat being vacated by the retirement of Daniel Evans. There Are nonetheless some obvious opportunities for the republicans to win seats now held by democrats. In Florida the withdrawal of former gov. Reu bin b. Askew has left the democrats with the prospector a four Way primary fight that probably won t be resolved until an oct. 5 Runoff and has strengthened the chances of Republican rep. Connie Mack. In Mississippi House Republican whip Trent Lott holds a Clear if not unassailable Lead Over democratic dowdy for the seat of the retiring John Stennis. In Wisconsin polls show Republican Susan Engeleiter essentially even with any of the Likely democratic nominees for the seat opened by the retirement of William Proxmire. All of these calculations Are clearly subject to revision two or three times Between now and nov. 8. Wild swings Are common in Senate campaigns. But what is Plain is that eight years of Ronald Reagan dominating the political landscape has done precious Little for the Republican party. Tribune Media services
